The pollsters have widely predicted an NDA victory in the state and another electoral loss for the Mahagathbandhan of RJD, Congress and Left Parties.
Both the NDA and Mahagathbandhan are claiming that this high turnout will favour their respective alliances. Exit polls have made near-unanimous predictions of a clear mandate for the ruling NDA.
Under Nitish, Bihar has witnessed a relieving shift from the days of anarchy under the Lalu-Rabri period to an era of good governance and development.
7.45 crore electors determined the fate of 2,616 candidates in this high-stakes contest in Bihar. Exit polls have largely projected an NDA sweep, much to the annoyance of the INDIA bloc.
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The Bihar verdict on Friday will determine whether Tejashwi Yadav finally steps out of his father’s shadow or faces yet another setback that questions his political future.
According to reports, former Bihar minister and JD(U) leader Ranjit Sinha put out a poster that read, 'Protector of Dalits, Mahadalits, backward classes, upper castes, and minorities — Tiger abhi zinda hai (the tiger is still alive)'.
The second phase of polling in Bihar saw a record voter turnout of 68.76 per cent, the highest in the history of the state.
If these projections hold true, the results would signal a decisive victory for the NDA, which appears to have retained its strong voter base across Bihar.
It said this is for the first time in the recent history of the state that no repoll has been ordered. In the first phase too, no repoll took place.
The predictions by Today's Chanakya come a day after several several pollsters predicted a landslide victory for the ruling NDA and a dismal show by Kishor's JSP, which is making its electoral debut.
Many pollsters, including Matrize, P-Marq, Peoples Pulse, projected a range of 130-209 seats for the NDA in the 243-member Bihar assembly, a figure well past the required majority mark of 122. Meanwhile, the Mahagathbandhan, comprising the RJD, Congress and Left parties, is predicted to trail with 70-102 seats.
Bihar Exit Poll: The BJP-led NDA is set to secure a clear majority over the RJD-led Grand Alliance, while Jan Suraaj may struggle to even open its account in the state, according to the survey.
Earlier today, addressing the presser, the Yadav scion claimed that even while people were still standing in queues waiting for their turn to vote, and the polling process had not yet ended, exit polls were already being released, predicting the BJP-JD(U) alliance’s victory in the assembly elections.
Seemanchal, which has the highest Muslim population in the state, saw Kishanganj record a turnout of 79.93%, an increase of 19.07% from 2020.
Congress and JD(U) seats post double-digit turnout gains; BJP strongholds hold steady, RJD sees modest rise
The last time women recorded a notably high turnout was in 2015, when 60.48 per cent cast their ballots compared to 53.32 per cent of men. In the 2020 polls, women's turnout stood at 60% compared to 54% for men.
Exit poll predictions were released shortly after the conclusion of the second phase of polling in Bihar on Tuesday. Counting of votes will take place on November 14
The exit polls also predicted that Prashant Kishor-led Jan Suraaj, which made its debut in the assembly polls, is unlikely to make any splash in terms of seats.
Notably, this was the first time that chief minister Nitish Kumar’s JD(U) agreed to contest the same number of seats as BJP – veering from the “big brother, small brother” in the relationship
Paswan's electoral performance in the 2024 Lok Sabha polls strengthened his bargaining position. LJP(RV) contested five seats in Bihar and won all five, registering a 100% success rate.
Exit polls have predicted a thumping victory for the ruling NDA in Bihar and another setback for the Tejashwi Yadav-led Mahagathbandhan.
The CM, eyeing his fifth consecutive term, was targeted by the Opposition which accused him of being 'remote-controlled' by the BJP and raised concerns about his health and potential impact on governance.
While Rahul Gandhi's 'Vote Adhikar Yatra' managed to galvanise party workers on the ground, its organisational deficiencies and a leadership vacuum may have led the party to another failure in translating alliance arithmetic into electoral performance.