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Vivek Y Kelkar

Researcher And Analyst

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China’s steel industry is giving out negative signals

BUSINESS

China’s steel industry is giving out negative signals

China’s domestic demand as well as export demand for steel is weak, which will have major implications for the Chinese economy

India needs a strategy to secure rare earths value chain to boost growth

BUSINESS

India needs a strategy to secure rare earths value chain to boost growth

China is the numero uno in production and processing of rare earths; a US-led partnership is also taking shape to counter China in this domain

An Islamabad-Moscow-Beijing nexus could be worrying for India and the US

BUSINESS

An Islamabad-Moscow-Beijing nexus could be worrying for India and the US

For India, the important factor to watch would be the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and the Pakistan Stream gas pipelines

China’s strategic moves in the Middle East call for India’s attention

BUSINESS

China’s strategic moves in the Middle East call for India’s attention

China is making significant investments in the Middle East, making inroads in a region that India considers as strategic too. Since China’s interests go beyond the economic ones, India needs to do more to protect its own interests

The PLI schemes should be designed to take India to the edge of the technology frontier

BUSINESS

The PLI schemes should be designed to take India to the edge of the technology frontier

The PLI schemes must go beyond mere financial help and government intervention must be transformative with deliberate involvement through direct investment, government-led R&D champions, and subsidized industry clusters

Nuclear power is the answer to India’s energy demand challenge

BUSINESS

Nuclear power is the answer to India’s energy demand challenge

India’s renewables’ focus seems attractive at first but the ground reality shows that more reliable alternatives are needed. Nuclear fits the bill

Can India play a role in the battle for influence in Central Asia? 

BUSINESS

Can India play a role in the battle for influence in Central Asia? 

Beijing is already in a dominant position in Central Asia and it is time for India to counter Chinese ambitions in the region. At play are not just the minerals, like uranium, or fossil fuel resources of the region, but the unique opportunities for connectivity that the region provides, linking Asia to Europe through land-based trade corridors 

China’s BRI is not just a debt trap but a trade trap too

BUSINESS

China’s BRI is not just a debt trap but a trade trap too

Opportunity for developed world to woo recipients of Chinese funds through active investments in productive value chains in these countries and make them a core part of the world economic engine

The new importance of being Iran 

BUSINESS

The new importance of being Iran 

Iran holds nearly 18 percent of the world’s natural gas reserves—the world’s second-largest cache after Russia

ASEAN is critical to India’s geopolitical future  

BUSINESS

ASEAN is critical to India’s geopolitical future  

India must build itself up as an alternative to China for the ASEAN countries 

Watch out for China’s iron and steel trap

BUSINESS

Watch out for China’s iron and steel trap

In the near term, falling steel demand across the world both from the slowdown in China and the West and the questions over the BRI will prompt China to look for other means to sustain its massive steel industry, perhaps by dumping

India needs a new strategy for its natural gas

BUSINESS

India needs a new strategy for its natural gas

The geopolitics of natural gas could severely affect India’s economy as input prices go up in key sectors

The global economic engine needs an independent Taiwan

BUSINESS

The global economic engine needs an independent Taiwan

The US is inexorably tightening its noose around Beijing by linking together the high-tech powers in East Asia. South Korea, a long-time trade partner and a key supplier of its semiconductors, is now being courted too, bringing Seoul, Taipei and Tokyo together in a technological embrace

India has started a slow walk to Aatmanirbharta on semiconductors

BUSINESS

India has started a slow walk to Aatmanirbharta on semiconductors

Quick project implementation is an absolute must to demonstrate India’s seriousness in manufacturing semiconductors. It requires politics-free coordination between the Central and State governments

It will be hard to break China’s dominance in critical EV inputs

BUSINESS

It will be hard to break China’s dominance in critical EV inputs

Beyond scale in manufacturing, China has built a quiet stranglehold over virtually every key element of the product and supply chain

India loses out to the EU on African oil and gas

BUSINESS

India loses out to the EU on African oil and gas

With Russia cutting off natural gas supplies to Europe, the EU is looking for alternative gas sources in Africa 

The complex crisis of food inflation

BUSINESS

The complex crisis of food inflation

The high energy cost across the supply system, with the complex intertwining between energy and raw materials inevitably leads to higher food prices, with costs rising at each link of the chain, whether linear or non-linear 

Pakistan: Caught in the Dragon’s trap 

BUSINESS

Pakistan: Caught in the Dragon’s trap 

The IMF in its latest country report on Pakistan, brought out in April this year, has quietly hinted that the country’s industry simply lacks the technology and sophistication necessary to compete in the modern world

The Indian tightrope trick on sanctions against Russia

BUSINESS

The Indian tightrope trick on sanctions against Russia

The US is likely to soft pedal India’s stand on sourcing crude and other raw materials from Russia, in view of geopolitical and geo-economic considerations 

The resilience of China’s supply chain dominance

BUSINESS

The resilience of China’s supply chain dominance

The IPEF does not offer a free trade agreement. It does not dangle the prospect of lower customs tariffs, either. In contrast, the China-dominated Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and even older agreements like the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) FTAs, do offer tariff incentives 

The paradox of the Russia sanctions

BUSINESS

The paradox of the Russia sanctions

The sanctions were intended to hurt Russia, but it is the world’s developing nations that have been the worst hit 

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