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Budget Express 2026

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Vivek Y Kelkar

Researcher And Analyst

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With Russian oil bonanza on the wane, India needs to refocus on Iraq 

BUSINESS

With Russian oil bonanza on the wane, India needs to refocus on Iraq 

Infrastructure and engineering sectors are where India has seen an opportunity  

India must make haste in securing finance to gain edge in critical minerals

INDIA

India must make haste in securing finance to gain edge in critical minerals

Scarcely any Indian company or financial institution has made concurrent attempts to build the funding capabilities required to catapult India into the next orbit of critical minerals development 

The Green Pivot: China is painting its industries green with an enviable finance strategy

BUSINESS

The Green Pivot: China is painting its industries green with an enviable finance strategy

China needs around $21.3 trillion in debt financing to reach its net zero emissions target by 2030, which looks achievable with its current strategy 

The dismal state of power discoms threatens India’s energy dreams

BUSINESS

The dismal state of power discoms threatens India’s energy dreams

The crucial fact missing in all the backslapping on investments in the power sector is that investments need to integrate from generation to transmission and distribution

Death of the dollar and the yuan’s rise: That’s a long shot

BUSINESS

Death of the dollar and the yuan’s rise: That’s a long shot

The temptation to invoice trade in currencies beyond the US dollar has risen, but currency pairs do have an underlying dollar component one way or the other across trade

China’s gas deals with Qatar are powering it as a swing trader

BUSINESS

China’s gas deals with Qatar are powering it as a swing trader

The deals with Qatar, coupled with overland pipelines, are giving China considerable power over a vital transition fuel—natural gas

India needs both Iran, US to take advantage of the vital INSTC trade corridor 

BUSINESS

India needs both Iran, US to take advantage of the vital INSTC trade corridor 

India’s ties with Iran are key to its long-term trade interests, offering not just markets that had hitherto been limited by geography but significant trade influence outside its traditional ambit

Saudi money and Chinese technology make a formidable geopolitical combination

BUSINESS

Saudi money and Chinese technology make a formidable geopolitical combination

China and the US are no longer asymmetrical powers in the Middle East. The moves of one affect the other considerably

Green Pivot | India’s aluminium industry crucial for green transition but emissions pose a big obstacle

BUSINESS

Green Pivot | India’s aluminium industry crucial for green transition but emissions pose a big obstacle

India needs investment to maximise its considerable potential as an aluminium manufacturer to the world

India will need to do a balancing act, albeit with a tilt to the US

BUSINESS

India will need to do a balancing act, albeit with a tilt to the US

Expectations are high that significant announcements about Indo-US technology partnership and investment will be announced when Prime Minister Modi visits Washington

The Green Pivot: Will India’s green energy dreams face a severe capital crunch?

BUSINESS

The Green Pivot: Will India’s green energy dreams face a severe capital crunch?

India will have to compete with the US and the EU in attracting capital to its green energy sector 

Adam Smith and the distortionary impact of Artificial Intelligence

BUSINESS

Adam Smith and the distortionary impact of Artificial Intelligence

IMF Deputy MD Gita Gopinath has pointed out how AI will upend the seminal work of Adam Smith and completely change labour markets and the economy

India’s just transition from coal is complex, messy and politically difficult

BUSINESS

India’s just transition from coal is complex, messy and politically difficult

The biggest problem around a just transition is that coal can’t be pushed out with a precise end date, nor can the massive socio-economic ecosystem that coal creates be replaced easily

China’s attempt to build a Pax Sinica won’t succeed

BUSINESS

China’s attempt to build a Pax Sinica won’t succeed

China over the last decade-and-a-half is manifestly trying to redefine the global power hierarchy and set out an order with the rules and arrangements that ensure its centrality

China’s dominance in rare earths and magnets is alarming

BUSINESS

China’s dominance in rare earths and magnets is alarming

In 2022, the country mined 58 percent of the world’s REEs. It accounted for 89 percent of the global REE processing capacity and 92 percent of the global manufacturing capacity for rare earth magnets

India needs an urgent push to secure its copper resources

BUSINESS

India needs an urgent push to secure its copper resources

India’s copper demand is forecast to reach 3 million tons by 2030 even as it mines only 2.5 percent of the copper it needs, and about 36 percent of the demand is met through recycling scrap

India faces unprecedented diplomatic challenge to secure its military future

POLITICS

India faces unprecedented diplomatic challenge to secure its military future

India's traditional dependence on Russia for defence equipment, Russia's growing ties with China, US wariness of both countries and India's desire to live in a multipolar world make for a difficult combination to solve

China’s domination of the global renewable energy sector is here to stay

BUSINESS

China’s domination of the global renewable energy sector is here to stay

China’s scale gives it a massive price advantage across the entire renewables chain that strengthens its domination across equipment supply chains

The CPEC is a metaphor for Pakistan’s failings

BUSINESS

The CPEC is a metaphor for Pakistan’s failings

CPEC was meant to add about 2-2.5 percent to Pakistan’s GDP every year and create 2.3 million jobs by 2030. These look very distant goals now

India’s battery manufacturing plans will need a secure nickel supply chain 

BUSINESS

India’s battery manufacturing plans will need a secure nickel supply chain 

India currently consumes just over 80,000 tons of nickel annually and almost all of it is imported. The country is expected to be one of the key markets that will drive nickel demand alongside China in the coming decade

India needs deeper economic ties with Indonesia to counter China

BUSINESS

India needs deeper economic ties with Indonesia to counter China

Indonesia carefully balances its handshakes, cultivating China, staying on the right side of the US, and carefully cultivating both India and Australia 

India has a challenge ahead to grab a slice of the semiconductor market

BUSINESS

India has a challenge ahead to grab a slice of the semiconductor market

The strategy will be government-led in most parts, yet heavily dependent upon the private sector for the downstream delivery and the ability to quickly secure finance way beyond what the government has currently earmarked

India’s energy transition must not ignore its complex political economy

BUSINESS

India’s energy transition must not ignore its complex political economy

There is pressure on India to sign the West-led Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP). But, it needs to take the ground realities of power generation, employment and mining-dependent states into account

China’s deep game in the Middle East can only discomfort Iran

BUSINESS

China’s deep game in the Middle East can only discomfort Iran

Beijing recognizes Iran’s value as an ally but it also recognizes the economic advantages that Iran’s cash-rich rivals like Saudi Arabia, Oman, and the UAE offer

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