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Madhuchanda Dey

Head Research

Moneycontrol

VIP Q1 review: A stellar quarter and a strong outlook

BUSINESS

VIP Q1 review: A stellar quarter and a strong outlook

We expect earnings to grow at a CAGR of 44 percent over the next couple of years and the stock’s performance should mimic the same even in the absence of multiple re-ratings

COMMENT | Markets cheer RBI's neutral stance, but the devil lies in the global details

BUSINESS

COMMENT | Markets cheer RBI's neutral stance, but the devil lies in the global details

While markets have welcomed the neutral stance, a glass half full could equally be seen as one half empty

RBI Policy – hike or no hike, the trajectory of interest rates is upward

BUSINESS

RBI Policy – hike or no hike, the trajectory of interest rates is upward

Since the last meeting, inflation dynamics hasn’t overtly improved but development in macro front points to conflicting outlook on future inflation.

Ideas for Profit: Axis Bank delivers all round improvement in Q1 FY19, buy

BUSINESS

Ideas for Profit: Axis Bank delivers all round improvement in Q1 FY19, buy

We see a profitable journey for this bank and hence recommend buying into the stock as it has potential to re-rate from the current valuation of 1.9 times FY20e book.

Ideas for Profit: HCL Tech’s deal wins & commentary overshadows soft numbers, buy

BUSINESS

Ideas for Profit: HCL Tech’s deal wins & commentary overshadows soft numbers, buy

The undemanding valuation leaves room for upside should the strategy play out on expected lines

Karur Vysya Bank Q1 FY19: Corporate bad loan problem over but bank has a new headache

BUSINESS

Karur Vysya Bank Q1 FY19: Corporate bad loan problem over but bank has a new headache

We like the strategic initiatives of the bank and draw comfort from the end of asset quality woes in corporate banking

Yes Bank Q1 FY19 review: More yes than no

BUSINESS

Yes Bank Q1 FY19 review: More yes than no

A closer look at the numbers suggests that the bank’s performance was fairly in line, with strong business growth and fee income traction

L&T Infotech – execution record and bullish business outlook justifies price

BUSINESS

L&T Infotech – execution record and bullish business outlook justifies price

We expect earnings growth in the twenties in the next couple of years. The price performance should track earnings traction hereon.

Should one add or avoid South Indian Bank after a weak Q1?

BUSINESS

Should one add or avoid South Indian Bank after a weak Q1?

The undemanding valuation could provide a decent trading upside should asset quality remain stable in forthcoming quarters. We would like to see some more structural improvement in core performance before recommending SIB to long term investors

Ideas for Profit: Weaker headline masks core strength in Kotak Mahindra Bank, buy on consolidation

BUSINESS

Ideas for Profit: Weaker headline masks core strength in Kotak Mahindra Bank, buy on consolidation

In the near term, the stock might consolidate after the recent outperformance, especially if some corporate lenders see asset quality pains abating. Investors should use any consolidation as any opportunity to invest for the long-term

NIIT Technologies Q1 review: Great outlook deserves a look

BUSINESS

NIIT Technologies Q1 review: Great outlook deserves a look

The strong outlook and reasonable valuation beckons investor attention.

Mindtree Q1 review: Strength sustains, accumulate on dips

EARNINGS

Mindtree Q1 review: Strength sustains, accumulate on dips

Given the recent outperformance, we advise investors to watch out for dips and gradually accumulate this business which is rightly positioned for the future

Ideas for Profit: Federal Bank posts a good Q1 with a better outlook

BUSINESS

Ideas for Profit: Federal Bank posts a good Q1 with a better outlook

We are comforted by the progress in Q1FY19 and the management guidance and feel that the valuation is still undemanding in the context of the long growth journey ahead.

Ideas for profit: Slow but steady growth is what's reassuring about Infosys' Q1 show

BUSINESS

Ideas for profit: Slow but steady growth is what's reassuring about Infosys' Q1 show

Stability in senior leadership, well chalked out execution strategy, better demand environment, generous payout and opportunities from a weaker rupee-dollar protects downside for the stock

Cyient: A soft Q1 should not tarnish this long-term story

BUSINESS

Cyient: A soft Q1 should not tarnish this long-term story

We expect the stock to consolidate following a weak Q1. However, we are confident about Cyient’s domain expertise, supplemented by the right acquisition and execution capabilities

IndusInd Bank – as steady as it gets

BUSINESS

IndusInd Bank – as steady as it gets

We view Q1 FY19 as a continuation of the well-charted out strategy of building a solid business with a focus on high yielding/good quality assets, backed by retail focused low cost liability.

TCS – a great start to another good year

BUSINESS

TCS – a great start to another good year

While the payout limits the downside, rupee depreciation in a volatile global environment could act as a tailwind. Investors should use dips to accumulate TCS as a core holding in the large cap IT space.

Ujjivan & Equitas: Rural economy on the mend, is it time to accumulate?

BUSINESS

Ujjivan & Equitas: Rural economy on the mend, is it time to accumulate?

Valuation appears to be reasonable after the stock correction

Gold financing companies: All that glitters may not be gold

BUSINESS

Gold financing companies: All that glitters may not be gold

Investors need to keep in mind that in the absence of a re-rating in the valuation multiple, long-term performance will largely track earnings growth.

Mindtree: How should investors read into the possible change in control?

BUSINESS

Mindtree: How should investors read into the possible change in control?

A change in ownership with an international major of repute can help sustain the premium, although near-term movement in the stock may get impacted by the deal valuation

Is a possible stake sale to LIC the best solution to IDBI’s problems?

BUSINESS

Is a possible stake sale to LIC the best solution to IDBI’s problems?

IDBI is not a lone case, there are about a dozen more banks whose capital position is precarious and they wouldn’t be in a position to raise capital from the market. The moot question remains, how many will LIC bail out?

COMMENT-The US-China trade war has no winners, and markets will have to live with it

BUSINESS

COMMENT-The US-China trade war has no winners, and markets will have to live with it

This is a war without a cease-fire in sight. This is a fact global markets will have to digest.

RPG Life Sciences – Track for the long term

BUSINESS

RPG Life Sciences – Track for the long term

The management medium term goal of Rs 1,000 crore turnover by FY22 looks like a tall task now

Credit growth improved in FY18 – who did it benefit?

BUSINESS

Credit growth improved in FY18 – who did it benefit?

For every additional Rs 100 of deposits in the banking system, Rs 55 is attracted by the 15 private banks and Rs 45 goes to the 21 public sector banks

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