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Ananya Roy

Founder

Credibull Capital

US Fed overhang weighs over Indian stock markets

BUSINESS

US Fed overhang weighs over Indian stock markets

The economic environment is not conducive for attractive returns in equities and is reflected in price action as well. What should investors do?

Are retail investors losing faith?

BUSINESS

Are retail investors losing faith?

Last month, institutional investors were net buyers of Indian stocks worth more than Rs 8,000 crore. But still, Nifty cracked by more than 2 percent during the period -- in other words, February saw retail investors losing faith

Creative accounting impairs visibility for investors

BUSINESS

Creative accounting impairs visibility for investors

Investors look for a true and fair picture and comparability in corporate disclosures. Creative accounting that adjusts EBITDA for everything that’s negative distorts the picture

FIIs are back, but will they remain?

BUSINESS

FIIs are back, but will they remain?

The pause in the narrowing yield spreads between the US and India has made Indian assets more attractive to foreign investors

Keen to read the market’s mind after the latest MPC meet? A user’s guide

BUSINESS

Keen to read the market’s mind after the latest MPC meet? A user’s guide

The same quantum of rate hikes points to a narrowing yield spread between India and US. This would make Indian assets more attractive for foreign investors 

Does the Bitcoin rally mean crypto is back?

BUSINESS

Does the Bitcoin rally mean crypto is back?

In the crypto space, a company that has grabbed media attention and investor interest today has a very real risk of dropping off the face of the earth tomorrow 

Can we bank on banks to pull Nifty up?

BUSINESS

Can we bank on banks to pull Nifty up?

While the sector has exhibited strong growth in earnings in Q3, a few overarching factors indicate that growth is likely to moderate, going forward 

Budget 2023: What does the economy need from the budget?

BUSINESS

Budget 2023: What does the economy need from the budget?

How the government deals with the challenges facing the economy will also determine how markets react to the budget announcements

As Nifty turns mercurial, how should investors roll the dice?

BUSINESS

As Nifty turns mercurial, how should investors roll the dice?

This week’s stock market movement suggests we are not immune to global developments, with the decoupling phenomenon fading

The curious case of falling IIP and rising PMI

BUSINESS

The curious case of falling IIP and rising PMI

The manufacturing sector is in trouble if official statistics are to be believed but proxy indicators suggest they are in the pink of health

It’s quite clear what long-term investors must do in 2023

BUSINESS

It’s quite clear what long-term investors must do in 2023

The domestic economy and even equities have done far better in 2022 than many other countries. Whether this decoupling will continue in the new year is not certain

Does steep fall in Paytm, Nykaa stocks alter their risk-reward ratios?

BUSINESS

Does steep fall in Paytm, Nykaa stocks alter their risk-reward ratios?

Investors should guard against catching a falling knife and given the changed business context, focus on investing in profitable businesses 

As inflation loses sting and equities sell off, what should investors do?

BUSINESS

As inflation loses sting and equities sell off, what should investors do?

Global inflation appears to be trending down. But central banks are maintaining a hawkish tone, especially the US Fed, which can dim the outlook for stocks

Macro signals for sector-allocation and the other way around

BUSINESS

Macro signals for sector-allocation and the other way around

Only when the trend shifts from the safe FMCG to the high-beta BFSI (and more importantly, sustains), would we have a clear signal that the rally is moving to being based on fundamentals

As Nifty creates all-time highs, what should investors do?

BUSINESS

As Nifty creates all-time highs, what should investors do?

Investors should do what the US Fed is doing, wait and watch and let the evolving situation be a guide. Right now, it’s saying play safe

Smart money says prepare for a sluggish phase in equities

BUSINESS

Smart money says prepare for a sluggish phase in equities

Historical data shows smart money plays a crucial role in supporting bull runs. For the Nifty breakout above 18500 to sustain, institutional support is an imperative

What the inflation trend means for markets and investors

BUSINESS

What the inflation trend means for markets and investors

WPI inflation is correcting while CPI inflation has stayed steady---this will help companies claw back some of the eroded margins. This is expected to help prop up the earnings of B2C companies and bring their P/Es back to attractive levels

Buckle up! Aviation sector is facing supply chain turbulence

BUSINESS

Buckle up! Aviation sector is facing supply chain turbulence

The pandemic easing could have revived the aviation sector but a number of woes are weighing down the sector, a choked supply chain being the latest woe. Investors should keep the strong ones in sight

Is the economy at an inflection point already?

BUSINESS

Is the economy at an inflection point already?

It is true that the world economy, led by its largest economies, is headed for a sharp slowdown if not a recession. Can India escape this fate, as some indicators suggest and some investors believe?

What leadership changes in a small island in Europe means for Indian investors

BUSINESS

What leadership changes in a small island in Europe means for Indian investors

Rishi Sunak has a tough task ahead to steer UK’s economy towards calmer waters with global markets watching if he will succeed, but his tenure has important implications for India as well

DIIs to the rescue as FIIs turn their backs - Déjà vu?

BUSINESS

DIIs to the rescue as FIIs turn their backs - Déjà vu?

In contrast to the last bout of selling, the ongoing FII exodus is much milder. Even VIX is sub-20. The range for Nifty is much narrower too, as it swings between 17,000 and 18,000 

Are Indian Autos slowing down or revving up?

BUSINESS

Are Indian Autos slowing down or revving up?

There’s a clear K-shaped recovery in the auto sector, with premium passenger vehicles doing well, while two-wheeler demand lags. With erratic monsoons playing spoilsport, this trend is likely to be extended 

These are ironical times, when a slowing economy triggers an equity rally

BUSINESS

These are ironical times, when a slowing economy triggers an equity rally

If it’s the economy that drives corporate earnings which drive valuations, then a slowing economy should be bad news. But stocks are actually celebrating a slowdown in a sign of the times we live in

Stock Markets - Is it time to give up, or top up?  

BUSINESS

Stock Markets - Is it time to give up, or top up?  

The good thing about the sell-off is that valuations have become reasonable 

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