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Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Vistara-Air India merger: Indian aviation is flying into interesting times

In today’s edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: Oil price caps seem futile, demands for benefit pensions gather steam, OPEC cuts oil production amid China crisis, what Q2 GDP says about Indian economy, and more

November 30, 2022 / 14:47 IST
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The Panorama newsletter is sent to Moneycontrol Pro subscribers on market days. It offers easy access to stories published on Moneycontrol Pro and gives a little extra by setting out a context or an event or trend that investors should keep track of. 

The Indian domestic airspace is getting smaller with the merger of Vistara and Air India. The merger will be the biggest in India’s aviation sector.
The Tata Group on Tuesday announced the consolidation of Vistara with Air India by March 2024. According to the details of the merger reported in the media, Singapore Airlines (SIA), which currently holds 49 percent of Vistara, will invest Rs 2,059 crore to get 25.1 percent in the merged Air India.

The combined fleet of Air India (including Air India Express and AirAsia India) and Vistara will be 218 wide and narrow-body aircraft, making it the second-largest domestic player and the country’s largest international carrier. The airline will be serving 38 international and 52 domestic destinations. Air India will be the only Indian airline to fly both the full-service and low-cost fleets. The merger will be a win-win as it covers the entire spectrum of offerings and the only routes that overlap are between India and Singapore.

The merger will have an impact on the aviation sector in India. For a cash-strapped industry, Air India with the backing of SIA and the Tata Group will have money backing their venture. Reports say that the airline is likely to order 300 narrow-body jets, the largest orders ever in aviation history.

The promoters of Air India have agreed to participate in additional capital injections to fund the growth of the merged Air India over the next two years. Reports quoting SIA officials say the airline is looking at additional capital injection to the tune of $615 million, payable only after the completion of the merger.

After the merger, the Indian aviation market will largely be a duopoly with Air India and IndiGo sharing 80 percent of the market between them. Air India with a 30 percent share will be aggressively looking to penetrate IndiGo’s 50 percent market.

Air India has the advantage over IndiGo in the sense that it can poke into the latter’s market share with its aggressive pricing through its low-cost Air India Express while consolidating its position in the full-service segment through Air India and Vistara offerings. The one-two combination of Air India will make growth difficult for IndiGo. In any case, in the fight of elephants, the smaller airlines will have a tough time surviving leaving the skies open to the two players to battle it out.

In the end, strategy and access to funds will decide the winner of the upcoming dogfight.

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Shishir Asthana
Moneycontrol Pro

Shishir Asthana
Shishir Asthana
first published: Nov 30, 2022 02:47 pm

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