Prabhudas Lilladher's research report on Lemon Tree Hotels
Despite the ongoing renovation exercise, Lemon Tree Hotel Ltd’s (LTHL) operational performance was better than our estimate with EBITDA margin of 46.0% (PLe 44.6%) led by better cost control and 3% beat on the revenue front. While Aurika, MIAL’s occupancy stood at 50%+ in 2QFY25, management expects sharp recovery in 2HFY25 with EBITDA margin of 60%+. In addition, as renovation exercise is typically a 1H phenomenon, we expect the overall operational performance to improve in 2HFY25E. Led by stabilization of Aurika, MIAL and improvement in RevPAR amid the ongoing renovation exercise we expect revenue/EBITDA CAGR of 11%/21% over FY25E-FY27E.
Outlook
LTHL trades at EV/EBITDA multiple of 13.7x/11.9x over our FY26E/FY27E estimates, unadjusted for the minority interest in Fleur. We broadly maintain our estimates and retain BUY with a TP of Rs158 (24x FY26E EBITDA; no change in target multiple).
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