Prabhudas Lilladher's research report on HCL Technologies
HCLT reported strong revenue growth of 3.3% QoQ CC led by IMS(7.3% QoQ CC & application services (5.2% QoQ). Strong growth in application services reflects signs of growth in digital services business. HCLT EBIT margin came slight below our estimates at 19% (Ple: 19.2%) eroded by 65bps QoQ mainly due to currency movements, utilization downtick & seasonal weakness in margin profile of Mode 3. HCLT has cut FY2020E EBIT margin guidance band by 100 bps at 18.5%-19.5% because of investments in digital competencies & large deal competencies. HCLT has guided 14-16% CC revenue growth which includes contribution from acquisition from select products of IBM , Actian corp., H&D international & C3i. Organic revenue guidance stood at 7-9% & will be back ended. Organic guidance is largely inline with peers & improved from last year's organic growth 6.5% YoY. We believe strong deal wins in FY19(~78 transformational deals) coupled with healthy outlook for BFSI & IMS will help HCLT to achieve higher end of organic guidance. We include IBM acquisition of IBM in our estimates resulting ~5% rise in our revenue estimates, excluding inorganic component our projections remain the same.
Outlook
We believe HCLT is focusing on broad-based growth (e.g megadeal in BPO segment, investing in digital competencies) will reduced its dependence on IMS growth. HCLT is trading at inexpensive valuations of ~13x FY21E valuations, We maintain our Buy rating (risk-reward ratio favorable) valuing HCLT at 14X FY21E earnings (30% discount to Infosys, 60% discount to TCS target multiple) & arrive at TP of Rs. 1186.
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