Macro

Market valuation and history suggest the possibility of a double-digit return in 2025

Elections, geopolitics, and poor earnings – How should investors trade a wild market?

Investors should exercise patience and buy the long-term India story at a more reasonable valuation on correction

Is the tide turning against Indian equities?

Investors should have a bias in favour of large-caps while buying the dips. It merits paying heed to the fundamentals of companies and growth outlook before jumping to buy the correction in the broader markets.

Nifty scales 26K – time to book gains or stay put?

If at all a correction, it is likely to be a shallow one thanks to the support of domestic liquidity

Hyderabad Industries: A play on recovery

While profits have shrunk dramatically over the last two years, the business is showing early signs of recovery in profitability

Investing lessons from Bajaj Housing’s dream debut

Earnings profile should be the key determinant while picking stocks

What next for the Indian markets, post a mixed bag of corporate earnings in Q1?

The progress of monsoon in India, rate cuts by global central banks, and the upcoming US election hold the key

UltraTech: India Cements acquisition augments its market supremacy

Though the deal looks expensive, it gives the Birla cement major better pricing power in the southern market

What can Union Budget 2024 deliver to excite markets further?

Budget 2024-25: Focus on capex, support to consumer sentiment, and addressing rural distress while maintaining fiscal balance are key areas to watch

Can Fed’s dovish pause re-fuel global equities?

A cut in policy rates still depends on the trend in inflation, but a hike on the face of recent macro weakness is unlikely

What kind of returns should investors expect from Indian equities in FY25?

The key events that will shape the market trend are the outcomes of the Indian and the US elections, along with the stance of global central banks

Fed policy: What should Indian investors do as US soft landing plays out?

The FOMC is expecting a longer road ahead in the fight against inflation

The Macro Puzzle: What explains the big divergence between GDP and GVA

Most likely the government might have not spent heavily on subsidies while tax flows, especially GST, has been highly robust. Interestingly, the second highest difference between GDP and GVA is in 2018-19, which coincides with the period during the previous Lok Sabha election. However, one has to be careful before jumping to any conclusions as the GDP data is revised significantly in multiple stages

Why India’s consumption expenditure data should cheer investors

The data is a nascent indicator of India’s long but steady journey towards becoming a wealthier nation with implications for varied consumption categories

Balanced RBI policy leaves all guessing on the timing of the rate-cut cycle

The central bank’s statement reaffirms its stance of neither being a hawk nor a dove but an owl that is vigilant on inflation

Fed policy: Base case is for rate cuts, but the question is when

While the case for soft landing gets stronger, Fed is in no hurry to cut rates

Making lemonade out of macro lemons

Investors will need to adjust portfolios more frequently — we are in a new regime and not going back any time soon

Das's speech adds cheer to market that's scaled Mount 21k

While the Nifty’s ascent to 21000 calls for a celebration, the RBI Governor’s speech has already delivered an icing for the party cake

Israel-Gaza conflict: Impact on crude, macro and equities | Market Minutes

In this episode of Market Minutes, Shailaja Mohapatra talks about the impact of Israel-Palestinian conflict on Indian economy and markets. Will investors fled to safer asset classes like gold and silver? Also, catch Aryaman Vir of WiseX on Voice of the day segment. Market Minutes is a morning podcast that puts the spotlight on hot stocks, keys data points and developing trends.

Fed policy review: What does the hawkish pause imply for equities?

For the Indian market, the risk-reward in terms of investment style is tilted in favour of large caps

Fed policy: What next for investors after a strong run in equities?

The US Fed has hiked its policy rate by 25 basis points but there is a good chance that if inflation remains subdued, it will pause again

Markets in the grip of bulls – Stay put or time to book the gains?

While equities will fetch steady return over the long term, it makes sense to pocket some gains post a sharp rally

Fed policy: Is the end in sight for the rate hike cycle?

This could be an appropriate time to start portfolio construction as Fed commentary suggests that some of the financial stability concerns are abating

India Inc – Wheels are beginning to come off

Investors need to be selective, stick to quality names, and be ready to face more episodes of volatility

Startup funding drops 60% in Q1 of 2023 as macro headwinds worsen

Over half of the investments in the quarter came in March alone.