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Budget Express 2026

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  • RBI governor Malhotra says CPI, growth outlook to be based on new series

    RBI governor Malhotra says CPI, growth outlook to be based on new series

    New CPI series set to release next week, FY27 GDP projections deferred to April MPC.

  • India’s private sector must return to the shop floor

    India’s private sector must return to the shop floor

    Despite soaring GDP projections, India's path to a $5 trillion economy is hamstrung by a widening chasm between its booming services sector and a stagnant manufacturing base

  • RBI revises FY26 growth forecast upwards to 7.4%, holds rate steady

    RBI revises FY26 growth forecast upwards to 7.4%, holds rate steady

    The RBI's monetary policy committee, as expected, held the repo rate steady at 5.25%

  • Private sector responding to govt's capex push in electronics, autos, cement, steel, says DEA secretary Thakur

    Private sector responding to govt's capex push in electronics, autos, cement, steel, says DEA secretary Thakur

    The government is confident of meeting its capital expenditure target for FY27, supported by diversification across sectors and higher infrastructure loans to states, Anuradha Thakur tells Moneycontrol

  • The 16th Finance Commission’s ambitious fiscal roadmap vs the budget’s cautious glide path

    The 16th Finance Commission’s ambitious fiscal roadmap vs the budget’s cautious glide path

    The 16th Finance Commission charts a bolder path to 3.5% fiscal deficit and 47.6% debt-to-GDP by 2030-31 than the Union Budget 2026-27’s more measured steps, yet both signal a shared commitment to long-term fiscal discipline

  • 'Next only to China, we'll bridge the gap': Sitharaman flags India’s global rise, cites Elon Musk

    'Next only to China, we'll bridge the gap': Sitharaman flags India’s global rise, cites Elon Musk

    The IMF’s January 2026 global outlook projects worldwide growth at 3.3% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027, noting that technology investments, fiscal and monetary support, and private-sector adaptability are helping offset shifts in trade policy.

  • Was the STT hike necessary from the fiscal perspective?

    Was the STT hike necessary from the fiscal perspective?

    To discipline excessive speculation by retail investors, the finance minister could have chosen a non-fiscal path

  • OPINION | Defence budget gets a big boost, hits 2% of GDP

    OPINION | Defence budget gets a big boost, hits 2% of GDP

    There’s a clear emphasis on spending focused on the cutting edge of the military and domestic procurement of equipment This year, the relative importance of defence spending has risen 

  • Budget 2026 | FM projects FY27 nominal growth at 10%

    Budget 2026 | FM projects FY27 nominal growth at 10%

    Growth assumption comes amid the global uncertainties.

  • Centre pegs FY27 fiscal deficit at 4.3% of GDP

    Centre pegs FY27 fiscal deficit at 4.3% of GDP

    The fiscal deficit in FY25 stood at 4.8 percent of GDP, which was 80 bps lower than 5.6 percent in FY24.

  • Europe’s top economies all expand in defiance of trade turmoil

    Europe’s top economies all expand in defiance of trade turmoil

    German gross domestic product rose 0.3% in the fourth quarter, advancing for the time since the start of 2025 and beating an initial estimate

  • Still see room for capital gains tweaks despite Budget 2024 rationalization, says CEA Nageswaran

    Still see room for capital gains tweaks despite Budget 2024 rationalization, says CEA Nageswaran

    Nageswaran said that further reforms to reduce operating costs, lower input costs, deregulation and skill creation can lift India's medium-term growth higher than the estimated 7 percent.

  • Govt to stick to the path of fiscal consolidation - Prof Dev, PMEC chairman

    Govt to stick to the path of fiscal consolidation - Prof Dev, PMEC chairman

    Inside India’s path to fiscal consolidation, export diversification strategy and boosting growth- exclusive chat with PMEAC Chairman, Dr S. Mahendra Dev

  • Economic Survey 2025-26: What to expect

    Economic Survey 2025-26: What to expect

    The document is likely to update the government’s gross domestic product (GDP) outlook in light of stronger-than-expected momentum through 2025.

  • MC-Deloitte CXO Survey: Over 80% of CXOs confident about India’s growth over next 12 months

    MC-Deloitte CXO Survey: Over 80% of CXOs confident about India’s growth over next 12 months

    Moneycontrol-Deloitte CXO survey reflects a degree of caution. 24 percent of CXOs said they held a neutral view, forecasting GDP growth in the 6–6.5 percent range

  • India to revamp quarterly GDP with GST, e-Vahan and energy data

    India to revamp quarterly GDP with GST, e-Vahan and energy data

    Shift to high-frequency administrative datasets aims to smooth growth estimates and cut sharp revisions under new FY23 base

  • India to grow 6.5% in FY27; World Bank pegs FY26 growth at 7.2%

    India to grow 6.5% in FY27; World Bank pegs FY26 growth at 7.2%

    Strong domestic demand expected to offset drag from higher US tariffs, says World Bank

  • Govt to stick to 4.4% fiscal deficit aim in FY26 but will need to 'manage' expenditure

    Govt to stick to 4.4% fiscal deficit aim in FY26 but will need to 'manage' expenditure

    Economists say Centre will have to cut down on revenue and capital expenditure to achieve 4.4% of fiscal deficit target, as they see a sharp shortfall in tax revenues – more than Rs 1 lakh crore in FY26.

  • India’s economy likely rebounded to 7.4% growth in FY26, investment powers recovery

    India’s economy likely rebounded to 7.4% growth in FY26, investment powers recovery

    Tax cuts, rate easing lift demand as old GDP series nears its end

  • Indian economy to grow near 7% in FY27; private investment to take time to broaden: Ind-Ra

    Indian economy to grow near 7% in FY27; private investment to take time to broaden: Ind-Ra

    Growth to stay resilient despite global risks, but capex recovery beyond infrastructure may be gradual

  • India may rethink how it measures growth, as shift from GDP to NDP comes under consideration

    India may rethink how it measures growth, as shift from GDP to NDP comes under consideration

    Statistics ministry weighs global move under SNA 2025 that could reset growth benchmarks and Viksit Bharat timelines

  • Digital payments hit year’s highest levels in December as consumer confidence returns after GST cuts

    Digital payments hit year’s highest levels in December as consumer confidence returns after GST cuts

    The notable exception to this trend was credit and debit card spending, which is online sales driven. The card spending has also been hit by UPI's popularity, which also hit record highs in December

  • Industrial output growth rebounds to over two-year high of 6.7% in November

    Industrial output growth rebounds to over two-year high of 6.7% in November

    All six use-based industries expand for first time since January; consumer demand and capital goods drive rebound

  • Centre likely to cut debt-to-GDP ratio to around 55% in FY27: Report

    Centre likely to cut debt-to-GDP ratio to around 55% in FY27: Report

    A final decision on the FY27 consolidation strategy will hinge on the economic growth outlook, which will be reassessed after the release of the first advance estimates of GDP for FY26 on January 7

  • Fixed Income 2026: Navigating India's post-rate cut landscape

    Fixed Income 2026: Navigating India's post-rate cut landscape

    Benign monetary policy may be at its end and fixed income investors must take note

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