The dollar index rose 0.1% to 108.289 while Asian currencies were mostly weaker, with the Malaysian ringgit down 0.4% and leading losses
Indian stocks have lost almost $500 billion in market value in the past month, with MSCI Inc.’s index for the nation marking the worst start to a year since 2016. The rupee has fallen to successive record lows against the US dollar, the worst performance in Asia.
The likely bonanza comes at a crucial time as the government is trying to revive an economy weighed down by weak consumption, anemic private sector investments and moderating tax revenues.
A wider tariff imposition by Trump 2.0 would dent the corporate confidence much more than the base case, said Morgan Stanley. Chetan Ahya underscored that the Morgan Stanley's forecast could be at risk if Trump announces across-the-board tariffs.
The currency declined to an all-time low of 86.6475 earlier in the week but frequent interventions by RBI helped prevent sharper losses, traders said
Higher crude oil prices and volatile global trends failed to prevent the withdrawal of foreign funds from domestic equities, capping a significant recovery in the Indian currency, forex traders said.
The reshuffle comes after the central bank’s senior most deputy governor and in-charge of the monetary policy Michael Debabrata Patra’s tenure ended on Tuesday.
Malhotra, who took office in December, has held multiple meetings with departments at the central bank ahead of his first monetary policy meeting in February
The fall of 58 paise, or 0.67 per cent, in one session was the steepest since February 6, 2023 when the unit had lost 68 paise
A bigger depreciation of around 10%, taking the rupee to 95 is “not out of the question,” analysts Udith Sikand and Tom Miller wrote in a note.
There’s a nearly 60% likelihood of the rupee falling to 87 per dollar, compared with just an 9% chance of it recovering to 84 by the end of March
A rate divergence between the US and China erodes the city’s lure as a cheap place for companies to raise funds. It’s time to move on
Dollar-rupee three-month offshore forward points, the cost of locking in forward dollar purchases, touched levels last seen in November 2022 on Thursday.
The rupee declined to 85.93 per U.S. dollar, weakening past its previous record low of 85.8575 hit in the last session. The currency was at 85.92 as of 9:45 a.m. IST.
In the first few days of 2025, at least $6 billion worth of dollar bonds were issued, LSEG data and term sheets reviewed by Reuters showed. Deals have been priced by the Export Import Bank of Korea and aluminium producer China Hongqiao Group.
RBI’s currency inflexibility, in contrast to the flexibility of the CNY and the strengthening of the USD, makes it imperative for the RBI to allow for a higher currency depreciation and ease its interventions.
Acharya’s comments come at a time when markets await clarity on whether new RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra would continue with his predecessor’s approach of intervening firmly in the currency market.
Fully accessible route bonds — those offered to global investors without limits — will fall short of an initial $25-30 billion passive flow that was estimated to come in after their inclusion to the JPMorgan Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets, said a note.
The rupee was quoted at 85.77 to the U.S. after dipping to an intraday low of 85.7950 in afternoon trade amid a fall in the Chinese yuan and an uptick in the dollar.
The rupee declined to 85.7900 per U.S. dollar, not far off the all-time low of 85.8075 hit last Friday. It opened on a weaker note, at 85.7025, and has been under pressure since.
The rupee’s one-month implied volatility versus the greenback rose to as much as 4.09% on Monday, the highest since August 2023. This marks a shift from the currency’s recent stability, which saw the volatility gauge hit a record low this August.
For the year so far, the Rupee has weakened by 3% against the US dollar, and is set to post annual losses for seventh year in a row.
The rupee declined to 85.3950 to the dollar, eclipsing its previous all-time low of 85.2825 hit on Thursday. The currency was last quoted at 85.39 as of 09:40 a.m. IST.
Indian rupee touched a record low on Thursday after the US Federal Reserve signalled fewer rate cuts in 2025
Benchmark indices on Dalal Street could see some moderation in returns and wealth creation may shift to a more bottom up, stock specific approach, according to Prime Securities' capital market outlook for 2025. It sees consumption, IT products and infrastructure among key themes.