ICICI Direct’s research report on VST Industries
VST industries would be the bigger beneficiary of the change in the indirect tax structure. With the abolition of excise duty and additional excise duty, net tax incidence for VST industries would come down by 8.3% and to comply with the anti profiteering clause, the company would require taking price cut by 6.0%. State VAT has been replaced by GST and cess would replace specific excise duty.
Outlook
We expect VST to clock revenue CAGR of 14.5% FY17-19E led by volume CAGR of 5.5% after witnessing volume decline for five consecutive years. Led by healthy revenue growth and EBITDA margin expansion of 510 bps, profit for the company is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 23.3% over the same period. Hence,we are upgrading our recommendation on the stock to Buy with a revised target price of| 4130/share valuing it at 25x on its FY19E EPS of | 164.6.
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