Motilal Oswal's research report on Fusion Microfinance
Fusion’s 4QFY24 PAT grew 16% YoY to INR1.33b (9% miss) because of elevated credit costs. NII grew 31% YoY to INR3.6b, while PPoP also grew 31% YoY to INR2.9b (7% beat). FY24 PAT grew 31% YoY to INR5.1b. Cost-income ratio stood at 37% (PY: 36%). Credit costs stood at INR1.2b (50% higher than estimates) and annualized credit costs rose 75bp QoQ to 4.8%. This included management overlay of INR180m in 4QFY24.
Outlook
Fusion, in our view, can deliver a calibrated CAGR of 24% in AUM and 28% in PAT over FY24-FY26E. It is also poised to deliver RoA/RoE of 5.3%/21% in FY26, aided by scale and productivity benefits, leading to a decline in the cost ratios. This is despite the guidance of higher net credit costs of 3% in FY25. We reiterate our BUY rating on the stock with a TP of INR 605 (based on 1.4x FY26E P/BV).
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