Motilal Oswal's research report on HCL Technologies
HCL Technologies (HCLT) reported weak 4QFY24 performance with 0.3% QoQ CC consolidated revenue growth, below our estimate of 0.9% QoQ CC.The weak performance was due to the seasonality in HCL Software (-18.5% QoQ CC) coupled with weakness in ERS (1.6% QoQ CC), while ITBS posted an impressive 4% QoQ growth in CC. Services grew 3.0% QoQ in CC, above our estimate of +2.7% QoQ. The new deal TCV was healthy at USD2.3b (+18.8% QoQ/10.4% YoY) in 4QFY23. HCLT announced disappointing revenue growth guidance of 3-5% CC for FY25, amid weak 1QFY25 expectations (-2% QoQ). The weak expectations are led by the offshoring of a large deal and the transfer of productivity benefits to clients. EBIT margin came in lower than expected at 17.6% (-220bp QoQ; missing our estimate of 18.5%) due to the HCL Software seasonality. Services margin contracted 70bp QoQ. Management retained its EBIT margin guidance band of 18-19% for FY25.
Outlook
we expect HCLT to emerge stronger on the back of healthy demand for these services in the medium term. The stock is trading at ~20x FY26E EPS, which offers a margin of safety. Our TP of INR1,700 is based on 23x FY26E EPS. We reiterate our BUY rating on the stock.
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