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Neha Dave

Principal Research Analyst

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Here’s what to expect from the markets in 2019

BUSINESS

Here’s what to expect from the markets in 2019

Govt’s stake sale in REC to PFC more about fiscal math than operational synergies

BUSINESS

Govt’s stake sale in REC to PFC more about fiscal math than operational synergies

In a similar deal last fiscal, GOI sold its 51 percent stake in HPCL to ONGC and managed to raise Rs 36,915 crore.

Credit growth well in excess of nominal GDP growth, but will it sustain?

BUSINESS

Credit growth well in excess of nominal GDP growth, but will it sustain?

Overall credit pie will still continue to expand at healthy pace as NBFCs are expected to cede their market share in favor of banks, giving boost to the banking system credit growth.

What Edelweiss' reported stake sale in wealth, AMC business means for stock

BUSINESS

What Edelweiss' reported stake sale in wealth, AMC business means for stock

While there are multiple growth levers in the long term, potential stake sale in fee based business can be an immediate trigger for the stock

Housing finance cos to benefit most from RBI’s easing of portfolio sell-down norms

BUSINESS

Housing finance cos to benefit most from RBI’s easing of portfolio sell-down norms

RBI's relaxation would primarily benefit HFCs where the loan tenure is typically more than 5 years with greater proportion HFCs’ loan book now becoming eligible for securitisation.

Is promoter stake sale in Zee for survival or growth?

BUSINESS

Is promoter stake sale in Zee for survival or growth?

With the rules of the game being redefined by the disruptors with formidable balance sheet, there is a potential downside risk to the business valuation of TV broadcasters

Motilal Oswal Fin Services: A capital market player with fortune now tied to housing finance biz

BUSINESS

Motilal Oswal Fin Services: A capital market player with fortune now tied to housing finance biz

MOFS's fee based businesses have scaled up well over the last few year but its overall performance is dragged down by the housing finance subsidiary, Aspire

JK Paper: High earnings growth with potential upside trigger; buy

BUSINESS

JK Paper: High earnings growth with potential upside trigger; buy

Macro factors such as favourable demand–supply dynamics and micro factors like increased capacity and operating efficiency will continue to aid JK Paper’s profitability

Mutual fund flows in October resilient despite 5% fall in Nifty

BUSINESS

Mutual fund flows in October resilient despite 5% fall in Nifty

Strong domestic mutual fund inflows into equities continue to more than offset the lackluster FPI flows in the recent years

Govt call for special treatment of NBFCs may be unwarranted as liquidity easing

BUSINESS

Govt call for special treatment of NBFCs may be unwarranted as liquidity easing

Current situation is more a crisis of confidence and not a full blown liquidity crisis. Hence, a special liquidity window for NBFCs at this point in time can boomerang by denting the confidence of market participants.

ICICI Prudential vs HDFC Life: Which life insurance stock offers better value?

BUSINESS

ICICI Prudential vs HDFC Life: Which life insurance stock offers better value?

Listed private insurers have gained a significant edge over agency-led insurers and are now witnessing accelerated growth

Bajaj Finance Q2: Company can weather industry storm; must-buy for long term

BUSINESS

Bajaj Finance Q2: Company can weather industry storm; must-buy for long term

We see high interest rates as a speed breaker, not a derailment, in the BFL’s long journey upward

Sharp fall of NBFCs after Supertech’s default: Overreaction or justified?

BUSINESS

Sharp fall of NBFCs after Supertech’s default: Overreaction or justified?

Nervousness in the stock market and fears of a liquidity squeeze for NBFCs creating solvency issues for real estate players are the reasons for the free fall in NBFC shares post Supertech’s default.

DCB Bank: Steady Q2; buy for the long term

BUSINESS

DCB Bank: Steady Q2; buy for the long term

While the Q2 FY19 earnings were better-than-expected, further improvement in profitability hinges a lot on operating efficiency and could take longer than envisaged

Indiabulls Housing Finance Q2: Sound fundamentals but tight liquidity may weigh

BUSINESS

Indiabulls Housing Finance Q2: Sound fundamentals but tight liquidity may weigh

At the time when the NBFC sector is grappling with funding issue, IBHF is guiding for medium term loan growth of 20-25 percent which clearly signals its relatively strong liquidity position.

US political uncertainty can potentially thaw in fund outflows from emerging markets

BUSINESS

US political uncertainty can potentially thaw in fund outflows from emerging markets

Upcoming US midterm election could potentially halt the rally in USD and reverse the flows from US markets to relatively better-placed EMs like India

Large liquid fund outflows not as worrisome as posed by headline numbers

BUSINESS

Large liquid fund outflows not as worrisome as posed by headline numbers

There was a domino effect of IL&FS episode on liquid fund withdrawals, but only to a limited extent. A large chunk of outflows can be attributed to September-end phenomenon.

ICICI Bank: Leadership crisis over, valuation attractive at this price

BUSINESS

ICICI Bank: Leadership crisis over, valuation attractive at this price

Chanda Kochhar's permanent exit decisively lifts the cloud of management uncertainty at ICICI Bank

RBI’s Bandhan Bank diktat: Here’s what investors need to know

BUSINESS

RBI’s Bandhan Bank diktat: Here’s what investors need to know

In essence, the high promoter holding in Bandhan Bank is an optical illusion. It is actually widely spread out but entangled. To this extent, RBI's action seems too stringent but sets a strong precedent

Will the risk aversion of MFs derail high speed growth of NBFCs?

BUSINESS

Will the risk aversion of MFs derail high speed growth of NBFCs?

While valuations of many NBFCs have fallen following the recent sell-off, we don’t see a quick bounce back as MFs are in a risk averse mode, which will pare growth for many players

NBFCs may face funding pressure but most will be able to tide over the crunch

BUSINESS

NBFCs may face funding pressure but most will be able to tide over the crunch

Source and cost of funding are vital for NBFCs. While the cost is going up, there seems to be some pressure on source of funds at the moment.

SEBI cap on MF fee income will have a widespread impact, and not just on AMCs

BUSINESS

SEBI cap on MF fee income will have a widespread impact, and not just on AMCs

SEBI reducing MF charges will hurt wealth managers that largely rely on MF distribution revenue. AMCs are relatively better placed with multiple options to limit the adverse impact

Sundaram Finance: A steady performer, buy

BUSINESS

Sundaram Finance: A steady performer, buy

Sundaram Finance is a safe bet considering its long demonstrated track record of stable and profitable growth across business and interest rate cycles

PVR: Strong comeback but not yet picture perfect; buy on dips

BUSINESS

PVR: Strong comeback but not yet picture perfect; buy on dips

While online streaming providers like Netflix and Amazon can change the way patrons watch the movies over a period of time, we don’t see a complete disruption to the theatre operators as both mediums can coexist.

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