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Manas Chakravarty

Group Consulting Editor

Moneycontrol

Lower goods trade deficit improves current account dramatically in March quarter 

BUSINESS

Lower goods trade deficit improves current account dramatically in March quarter 

The factor that should boost imports and widen the current account deficit is if the much-anticipated boom in capital goods finally takes off

Indian Ocean Dipole effect could mitigate El Nino impact on India: RBI research

BUSINESS

Indian Ocean Dipole effect could mitigate El Nino impact on India: RBI research

Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology said in an update on 20 July 2023: ‘The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. All models suggest a positive IOD is likely to develop in the coming months’

Flash PMIs for June show growth finally slowing in developed economies

BUSINESS

Flash PMIs for June show growth finally slowing in developed economies

Bank for International Settlements warns of complacency in tackling inflation and financial risks 

BUSINESS

Bank for International Settlements warns of complacency in tackling inflation and financial risks 

The BIS says that the next phase of disinflation will be more difficult 

Russia: A banana republic with nukes

BUSINESS

Russia: A banana republic with nukes

What does the farcical Wagner rebellion say about the capabilities of the Russian state and of its army and about the way the country is governed? 

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender: The beginning of Indimerica 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender: The beginning of Indimerica 

Prime Minister Modi's US visit signals a new era in Indo-US ties

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender: Fairy tale economics 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender: Fairy tale economics 

Why should Goldilocks hog all the quotes? This week, we look at the markets and economy through some other fairy tale personalities

Are services exports slowing down too?

BUSINESS

Are services exports slowing down too?

There is a slowdown in the labour-intensive exports such as textiles, leather products and gems & jewellery 

Chart of the Day: What the markets are saying about the Fed meet

BUSINESS

Chart of the Day: What the markets are saying about the Fed meet

Two charts that deconstruct the Fed’s ‘hawkish pause’ 

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | The best of both worlds? 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | The best of both worlds? 

In today’s edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: Stock market risk appetite shrinks, water security imperative issue for businesses, India needs an OpenAI rival, booming pet economy, and more

Chart of the Day: Four charts that bring out the key trends in inflation

BUSINESS

Chart of the Day: Four charts that bring out the key trends in inflation

The charts tell us what drove down inflation, the importance of the base effect, what’s happening to core inflation and on the wide variation in inflation among the states 

How much of a threat is El Nino to the Indian economy?

BUSINESS

How much of a threat is El Nino to the Indian economy?

While an El Nino certainly has an adverse impact on the farm economy, there isn’t a tight correlation between the strength of the phenomenon and the damage caused. And government policy can curb the inflationary effect on food prices

Moneycontrol pro Weekender | Hop, skip or pivot? 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol pro Weekender | Hop, skip or pivot? 

The markets will dance to the Fed's tune next week

US economic wars: first as farce, then as tragedy

BUSINESS

US economic wars: first as farce, then as tragedy

The US economic war against China echoes the trade war against Japan in the eighties

PMI survey sends a message to Monetary Policy Committee

BUSINESS

PMI survey sends a message to Monetary Policy Committee

The MPC members must take the rise in PMI price indices into account

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Are we the champions? 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Are we the champions? 

The GDP data for the March quarter and the manufacturing PMI for May show strong growth. But is that the full story?

Demand for work under MGNREGA shoots up in May 2023

BUSINESS

Demand for work under MGNREGA shoots up in May 2023

Demand for work under the rural employment guarantee scheme in April and May this year have been higher than the same period last year 

Sizzling PMI for May shows manufacturing momentum increasing

BUSINESS

Sizzling PMI for May shows manufacturing momentum increasing

India’s manufacturing PMI is far higher than that of most other economies in Asia. That explains the return of the FIIs and should provide support to the Indian stock market

What powered GDP growth in the March 2023 quarter?

BUSINESS

What powered GDP growth in the March 2023 quarter?

The momentum in capex could be the beginning of the long-awaited corporate capex cycle while growth in the construction sector will support jobs and consumption

Urban unemployment down, but a lot of unpaid helpers

BUSINESS

Urban unemployment down, but a lot of unpaid helpers

PLFS survey shows that while urban unemployment is lower compared to pre-pandemic times, the quality of jobs is worse 

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender: Surf’s Up 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender: Surf’s Up 

Not only has slower global growth helped India through lower commodity prices, higher inflation in advanced economies has also boosted outsourcing 

Flash PMIs show two-speed global economy -- and a dilemma for central banks

BUSINESS

Flash PMIs show two-speed global economy -- and a dilemma for central banks

For the US, UK and the Eurozone, the Flash Manufacturing PMIs for May are all below 50, which means they have shrunk compared to the previous month. In contrast, the Flash PMI for the services sector shows robust expansion 

Could rising currency in circulation be a reason for the withdrawal of Rs 2000 notes?

BUSINESS

Could rising currency in circulation be a reason for the withdrawal of Rs 2000 notes?

Banknotes in circulation are now 15.1 percent of money supply, compared to 13.7 percent in the September 2016 quarter

Is there a hint of policy change in the RBI Bulletin’s State of the Economy report? 

BUSINESS

Is there a hint of policy change in the RBI Bulletin’s State of the Economy report? 

Retail inflation in the first quarter of FY24 is likely to be lower than forecast and bond markets are pricing in a shift of stance by the Monetary Policy Committee 

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