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Anubhav Sahu

Special Analyst

Moneycontrol Research

Prabhat Dairy–Lactalis stake sale: Investors wary of deal transaction

BUSINESS

Prabhat Dairy–Lactalis stake sale: Investors wary of deal transaction

The current transaction is routed through a subsidiary, so all proceeds (post capital gains tax) would come to the company and it remains to be seen whether it will be shared with shareholders.

Atul Q3 review: Strong performance adds to conviction; accumulate

BUSINESS

Atul Q3 review: Strong performance adds to conviction; accumulate

We are particularly enthused by the operating margin and expect the company to sustain at least 17-18 percent in the medium term.

Quick Take | US earnings broadly in line with long term trends; tariffs & currency key factors to watch

BUSINESS

Quick Take | US earnings broadly in line with long term trends; tariffs & currency key factors to watch

Projected earnings growth for Q4 CY18 has softened a bit from the start of the year (10.6 percent versus 12.2 percent YoY). While improvement is seen in industrials; financials, IT, materials and energy sectors have seen downward revisions. For CY19, analysts are projecting single-digit earnings growth of 6.5 percent and revenue growth of 5.3 percent as benefits of fiscal stimulus fade away

Ideas for Profit | HUL benefits from investment behind brands and distribution; accumulate

BUSINESS

Ideas for Profit | HUL benefits from investment behind brands and distribution; accumulate

One needs to closely watch for pricing growth, which was a shade lower than expectations. It possibly reflects upon recent moderation in cost inflation.

HUL Q3 Quick take: Volume led growth sustains on a high base

BUSINESS

HUL Q3 Quick take: Volume led growth sustains on a high base

The premium valuation factors in limited volatility in earnings, innovation profile and strong execution capabilities

Phillips Carbon Q3 review: Soft patch in auto sector demand needs a close watch

BUSINESS

Phillips Carbon Q3 review: Soft patch in auto sector demand needs a close watch

Company's capacity expansion programmes ensure continuance of dominant market position and facilitates a potential for high single digit volume growth in medium term.

Brexit in limbo: Here are the 4 options ahead

BUSINESS

Brexit in limbo: Here are the 4 options ahead

The silver lining from May’s defeat is that options like second referendum or UK effectively cancelling Brexit (reversing Article 50) is also alive. But so is the possibility of total stalemate and hence a no-deal Brexit

Quick Take | China trade data accentuates importance of key events – China plenum & trade talks

BUSINESS

Quick Take | China trade data accentuates importance of key events – China plenum & trade talks

Next round of trade negotiation is expected to happen later this month wherein Chinese side would be led by Vice Premier Liu He. Sequence of events gets interesting as China’s communist party plenum (19-22 Jan’19) is also around the corner. This is important as traditionally major reforms are announced in such events which may point towards more opening of the Chinese economy.

Varun Beverages: Beneficiary of inorganic growth, but how long can it sustain?

BUSINESS

Varun Beverages: Beneficiary of inorganic growth, but how long can it sustain?

Quick take GST changes: Calamity cess is not equal to sin tax; positive for ITC

BUSINESS

Quick take GST changes: Calamity cess is not equal to sin tax; positive for ITC

This also sets a reference for future as the GST legislation provides for levy of special taxes for a specified period to raise additional resources during any natural calamity or disaster. And hence, on each such occasion tobacco companies may not be on the receiving side.

Goa Carbon: Weak Q3, but volume rebound on horizon; margin to remain weak

BUSINESS

Goa Carbon: Weak Q3, but volume rebound on horizon; margin to remain weak

Post recent raw material mobilization, company’s operations are in full swing. Company is sitting on sale order of 50,000 tonne and hopeful of capacity utilization of 96 percent in Q4. End market demand, particularly in aluminum industry (80 percent of sales) remains intact.

Bajaj Consumer Care Q3 review: Improvement in wholesale augurs well; diversification key

BUSINESS

Bajaj Consumer Care Q3 review: Improvement in wholesale augurs well; diversification key

Successful relaunches of key products of the company -- ADHO and No Marks -- along with better rural offtake have been the salient takeaways from the result

Fed in wait and watch mode; minutes lay importance on financial conditions and global growth

BUSINESS

Fed in wait and watch mode; minutes lay importance on financial conditions and global growth

Fed minutes suggest a longer pause than that reflected post the December Fed meet

Prabhat Dairy: Foray into nutrition a potential growth driver

BUSINESS

Prabhat Dairy: Foray into nutrition a potential growth driver

Ideas for Profit | This little-known Indian firm is a major Vitamin D ingredient producer

BUSINESS

Ideas for Profit | This little-known Indian firm is a major Vitamin D ingredient producer

China's effort on clean environment has impacted the supply side of Vitamin D3 market – particularly the animal feed market. Price rise has been in this category has been in the order of 3-4x in last one year. Additionally, vitamin D3 prices in the human segment have also risen by 20-25% on account of structural changes like limited supply and increasing awareness.

PMI contraction suggests China gasping for domestic stimulus & breakthrough in trade talks

BUSINESS

PMI contraction suggests China gasping for domestic stimulus & breakthrough in trade talks

New announcements from Chinese authorities are expected to target a revival in consumption, improve the credit situation and offer a calibrated approach for reduction in debt so that growth in minimally hampered

Quick take: Higher MSP prices are not detrimental for Marico in near term; buy on dips

BUSINESS

Quick take: Higher MSP prices are not detrimental for Marico in near term; buy on dips

Looking at the price trend for the previous cycle, one finds that copra prices are largely determined by the prevailing demand-supply equation. In the previous deflationary cycle, copra prices breached their prevailing MSP briefly

Ideas for profit I Paushak – technology prowess in phosgene-based specialty chemicals

BUSINESS

Ideas for profit I Paushak – technology prowess in phosgene-based specialty chemicals

US markets factoring weak growth; to stay edgy on risks from trade talks, likely no-deal Brexit

BUSINESS

US markets factoring weak growth; to stay edgy on risks from trade talks, likely no-deal Brexit

To add to the concerns, oil markets have also seen a sudden collapse.

Marico eyes 13-15% revenue growth over 3-4 years: Saugata Gupta

BUSINESS

Marico eyes 13-15% revenue growth over 3-4 years: Saugata Gupta

In the current year company aims to deliver on annualized basis 8 percent volume growth.

Quick Take | HEG buyback acceptance ratio to be low; fundamentals intact

BUSINESS

Quick Take | HEG buyback acceptance ratio to be low; fundamentals intact

HEG’s plan includes a proposal to buy back 1,363,636 shares (3.41 percent of paid-up capital). Buyback price of Rs 5,500 is at 41 percent premium to the prevailing market price.

Ideas for Profit I Aarti Industries: Emerging as partner of choice for global chemical giants; accumulate

BUSINESS

Ideas for Profit I Aarti Industries: Emerging as partner of choice for global chemical giants; accumulate

The company is undergoing a huge capex programme and also bagged multi-year mega contracts from global players.

Fed reaches lower range of neutral rate; global growth, event risks need to be watched

BUSINESS

Fed reaches lower range of neutral rate; global growth, event risks need to be watched

The markets expected a far more dovish tone and is now concerned about global growth slowdown

Ideas for Profit I NOCIL: Trade war a growth opportunity for rubber chemical major; Buy

BUSINESS

Ideas for Profit I NOCIL: Trade war a growth opportunity for rubber chemical major; Buy

The stock is currently trading at around 9.8x FY21e earnings and 5.4x EV/EBITDA for FY21e which seems attractive given the growth outlook

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