A change in market expectations – from an inflation slowdown to an economic slowdown – is reflected in how long-term US treasury yields have fallen more than short-term yields. What does this mean for Indian investors?
US bond yields near 5 percent as strong economic data fuels Fed rate concerns, pressuring global markets. India’s rupee fell to a record low past 86.5 per dollar, while the Nifty 50 fell 1.5 percent amid tighter financial conditions.
The December move marked a full percentage point in reductions since September. The rapid pace produced a dissenting vote in September and another in December - each a rarity under Chair Jerome Powell.
The October FPI selloff had led to Nifty's worst monthly fall since the pandemic. Uday Kotak said his larger point was if the stock markets are resilient enough to face such a shock, and that the country must get competitive on global trade.
After the disappointing US growth numbers for the first quarter, the leading economist said, low growth and high inflation is "problematic" for the economy and markets.
Market sentiment has become fragile due to Israeli-Hamas clashes, leading to currency market risk aversion amid heightened geopolitical tensions and uncertainty.
The near term looks a bit clouded due to narrowing yield spreads, FII selling and relatively high valuations. Here’s how investors can deal with the inevitable short-term volatility
Volatility due to falling market depth and eroding investor appetite make for a very potent challenge in the coming weeks and months
Spot gold held its ground at $1,699.09 per ounce, as of 0341 GMT, having touched its highest since Sept. 14 at $1,702.39 earlier in the day.
Yield curve inversion is usually a pointer to an impending recession, but there is a good chance that the US may manage a soft-landing this time
The yield on 10-year inflation-linked US government bonds has surged 0.24 percentage points since the end of December
If US real rates trend higher ahead of potential tapering, then EM FX could be affected, hurting inflows to emerging markets
It’s difficult to make accurate entry and exit in the market but hedging your portfolio at an appropriate time is quite manageable. Now is the time.
Given the interest rates, stock markets are not overvalued. The big questions are whether real interest rates will jump, and how soon
Expected low returns for the next five to 10 years come at a crucial time for households near retirement and those who have recently crossed the retirement Rubicon
Headwinds in the IT sector remains high but the valuations at which IT stocks are trading now looks attractive and Ashburton looks at the sector with a view of topping up its holdings, Jonathan Schiessl said.
Refuting such predictions, Andrew Freris, CEO of Ecognosis Advisory opines that that small Asian markets are massively outperforming developed markets.
According to Chris Turner, the euro is a safe haven currency for now and as later in the year when portfolio flows pick up again, dollar will not be much strong across the board and the emerging market currencies will also be weak.
According to Udayan Mukherjee, the Indian market is touching its all time lows suggesting a poor performance. Also, weak global cues this morning are a cause of worry and will add to the suffering.
The key message from Fed Chairman is that tapering may start this year but it will be data dependent, says Udayan Mukherjee
The SGX Nifty is up quite a bit and the global markets too are doing better. The US too was flat yesterday but the minutes of the Fed meeting could surely help emerging market equities says CNBC-TV18‘s, managing editor, Udayan Mukherjee.
India seems to be facing the possibility of sluggish inflows, and the possibility of crude going up.The global picture too seems to be quite mixed and murky which may come in the way of emerging market equity performance.