Dear Reader,
The Panorama newsletter is sent to Moneycontrol Pro subscribers on market days. It offers easy access to stories published on Moneycontrol Pro and gives a little extra by setting out a context or an event or trend that investors should keep track of.
After clearing several new-age companies' IPOs during the primary market bull run in 2021, SEBI woke up when their prices started taking a beating. If one has to pick a company that caused SEBI to wake up from its slumber, it has to be Paytm.
The company offered its shares to the public in a band of Rs 2080-2150 but got listed at a discount and the stock price has since been slipping. The company’s shares are changing hands at Rs 535.
SEBI had to draw a lot of flak for not highlighting the valuation concerns in the company.
Since then, the market regulator has tried to get its act together. It came out with a discussion paper on disclosures by such companies.
The solution sought by SEBI is more transparency in terms of the pricing of IPOs. The regulator wants new-age tech firms to explain in detail the rationale behind pricing their issue by comparing it to pre-IPO share sales, publishing all pre-IPO investor presentations and giving details of what it calls Key Performance Indicators (KPI).
SEBI rightly deduced that current valuation parameters like earnings per share (EPS), price to earnings (P/E), return on net worth (RoNW), and net asset value (NAV), as well as comparisons of these accounting ratios with their peers, are useless when it comes to new-age companies. This is because most of them have been loss-making and may continue to do so for a long time.
Now, SEBI has a test case in front of it. The market regulator has asked Oravel Stays (Oyo) to refile its IPO papers with applicable details.
Oyo filed its Draft Red Herring Prospectus (DRHP) with SEBI in September 2021 for its Rs 8,430 crore IPO.
While SEBI has not mentioned the reasons for refiling in its notification, media reports say that SEBI has asked Oyo to update its risk factors, its KPIs, outstanding litigations and the basis for valuation in the company’s DRHP.
But will additional information from Oyo help in justifying the valuation? SEBI in its discussion paper acknowledged that new-age technology companies generally remain loss-making for a longer period before achieving break-even as these companies in their growth phase opt for gaining scale over profits.
An investor with a private equity mindset is best suited for such companies. Investing in startups is a completely different ball game, and even seasoned fund managers stay away from them. The segment is for private equity players who have the sector understanding, enough capital to de-risk their investments and most importantly, patience to allow the company management enough time to prove themselves.
Most retail investors do not have any such traits, they are looking for short-term post-listing gains.
All new-age tech IPOs of 2021 disclosed the fact that they are loss-making and may continue to do so. In such a case, valuation becomes difficult using conventional tools. However, analysts from some broking firms justified investments in these issues projecting numbers 25 years forward, trying to capitalise on the IPO frenzy. Additional data in their hands are giving them more tools to be creative in their deductions.
In the Oyo case too, SEBI is trying to hide behind data, which a retail investor will never understand.
There is no need for SEBI to be over-protective when companies themselves are disclosing that they are loss-making and will remain so for a while. An investor who is willing to understand the risk and pay the IPO premium can do so.
In the final analysis, the market will decide if the premium charged by the company is justified.
Investing insights from our research team
Automakers post mixed numbers, CVs continue to drive ahead
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries: Earnings growth takes the route of cost savings, higher capacity
Thanks to monsoon, sugar sector finds itself in a sweet spot
Tracker
Economic Recovery Tracker | Rural consumer sentiment braves the winter
What else are we reading?
Strong India PMI shows no case for stimulus in this year’s Budget
What the IMF has to say about Union Budget 2023
Macros have the knives out for Dr Copper in 2023
Black Swans in the Year of the Rabbit: Recession, recovery, rebound
GST buoyancy poses a welcome challenge for Budget 2023 maths
The Green Pivot: EVs will reach critical mass this year
The new Gulf sovereign wealth fund boom (republished from the FT)
Chips’ failed rally leaves them historically cheap
Beware the dangers of crypto regulation
What could go wrong for the Federal Reserve in 2023
Budget 2023: Rationalise capital gains tax
Technical Picks: ICICI Pru Life Insurance, Bank of Maharashtra, Bank of Maharashtra, Steel Authority of India and Crude oil (These are published every trading day before markets open and can be read on the app).
Shishir AsthanaMoneycontrol Pro
Discover the latest Business News, Sensex, and Nifty updates. Obtain Personal Finance insights, tax queries, and expert opinions on Moneycontrol or download the Moneycontrol App to stay updated!
Find the best of Al News in one place, specially curated for you every weekend.
Stay on top of the latest tech trends and biggest startup news.