Important structural reforms and the ongoing infrastructure boom reinforce belief that India can deliver real GDP growth of +6.5% over the coming years, says LGT’s Stefan Hofer.
Given that India is still in the middle of a larger bull framework, this phase of consolidation over the last year can ultimately pave the way for a more sustained and positive pick-up in the markets in the mid to long term, said Ajit Banerjee of Shriram Life Insurance.
Ongoing negotiations with partners including the EU, US, Peru, Chile, Oman, and New Zealand further reflect India’s commitment to diversifying its trade relationships and reducing overdependence on any single market, said Shreyash Devalkar of Axis MF.
FIIs continue to acknowledge India as a market which provides a very fertile ground for stock selection based alpha generation, Trupti Agrawal of WhiteOak Capital AMC said.
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The June swing high may not sustain, if Nifty fails to have broader participation, said Rahul Ghose.
Direction of earnings is a key factor for the market. Pick-up in credit growth and consumption demand revival are signs to watch out for, said P Krishnan of Spark Asia Impact Managers.
Beyond the promising long-term opportunities in tourism and hospitality, other sub-segments like automobiles and housing ancillaries also appear highly attractive, said Shailendra Kumar
The Nifty 50 index is comfortably trading above its key short-term and long-term moving averages, both of which are beginning to trend upward — a positive sign for the bulls.
Any pause in FII net selling—similar to the trend seen from March to June this year—is expected to be a positive catalyst for the markets, said Ashwini Shami of OmniScience Capital.
Emkay's Seshadri Sen remains constructive on discretionary consumption (not staples) and select healthcare/industrial sectors.
Global liquidity conditions, geopolitical developments, and the actual pace of economic reforms will play crucial roles in shaping the market's trajectory, said Dezerv's Vaibhav Porwal.
The recent GST rationalisation is crucial as it signals the next wave of reforms, said Rajesh Cheruvu of LGT Wealth India.
Rishabh Nahar advised focusing on durable consumption sectors such as household staples, autos, and financials that enable consumption.
A bumper Diwali season is surely on the cards, but more importantly, GST rationalisation underpins a steady consumption recovery over multiple quarters, said Saurabh Rungta of Avendus Wealth.
Resolving trade matters with the US is crucial for boosting market sentiment and attracting foreign investments, said Waterfield's Vipul Bhowar.
Within the positively impacted sectors, V Srivatsa of UTI Asset Management Company remains optimistic on automobiles and insurance as valuations remains reasonable and long-term impact is decent.
New leg of upmove in the market would be more dependent on the earning visibility of the corporate sector and reduction in global uncertainties, said Sandeep Bagla of TRUST MF.
GST rationalisation has the potential to be more than just a one-time booster — it could act as a key structural reform, said Divam Sharma of Green Portfolio.
Government might announce other measures which could include encouraging BRICS/EU FDI, said Vikas Gupta of Omniscience Capital.
Both stocks trade above their key moving averages and have shown golden crossover before the actual price breakout," he reasoned, Milan Vaishnav said.
Over the last 5 years, India has outperformed most of the other emerging markets, and is likely to deliver stable returns once the earnings re-rating sets in, said Raghvendra Nath of Ladderup Asset Managers.
Looking ahead, the 200-day EMA zone between 24,300 and 24,250 has become a critical support area for the Nifty 50. A sustained move below 24,250 could intensify selling and potentially push the index toward the 24,000 mark, said Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities.
GST rationalisation is likely to benefit domestic demand-driven businesses, particularly in consumer staples and discretionary segments, said Keyur Majmudar of Bay Capital Investments Advisors.
By the October–December quarter, Puneet Sharma of Whitespace Alpha expects earnings to look a lot stronger. This period always coincides with India’s spending season — festivals, weddings, year-end bonuses — and that brings a natural lift to demand, he said.