Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Can LTIMindtree clear the Street test?

This merger is in line with L&T's strategy of becoming more service-oriented.

Dear Reader,

The Panorama newsletter is sent to Moneycontrol Pro subscribers on market days. It offers easy access to stories published on Moneycontrol Pro and gives a little extra by setting out a context or an event or trend that investors should keep track of.

Mergers are always difficult acts to pull off and then convincing investors of their merits when the deal is announced is not easy either. Whether the merger was actually a success or not is also something that plays out in the very long term. The easiest metric that shows up is the mathematical addition of sales and earnings, but whether the much-talked about synergy benefits took place can sometimes remain a mystery. If a company says the synergies did yield expected savings, but these were reinvested into growth initiatives, then investors may feel disappointed that it did not flow into higher earnings growth and therefore, valuations.

Today’s trading shows the initial reaction of investors of L&T Infotech and Mindtree to the merger announcement. At today's close, Mindtree’s shares were down 5.3 percent while those of L&T Infotech were down by 3.4 percent. The deal will see Mindtree’s shareholders get 73 shares of L&T Infotech in return for every 100 shares they hold. As first reactions go, they don’t seem too thrilled with the swap ratio, but this could change.

The odds are in favour of the integration process working well, as both companies have already been working together on projects. The visible benefits are in size with the merged entity now being able to bid for higher value projects as it’s now the sixth largest Indian IT company by revenue. But the key aspects to watch in this merger are cross-selling to each other’s clients as business segments don’t overlap much, extracting cost synergies and growing faster. Our research view on the merger is that it should be marginally earnings-accretive. But what’s the take on valuations? Do read.

Meanwhile, markets are still wearing a dull look due to adverse macro factors, but there’s some good news on the global food inflation front. A moderation in demand due to the price spike and weaker import demand from China appear to be cooling prices. What’s the situation in India as wheat prices are moving up? Do read our chart of the day to know more.

Investing insights from our research team

Dabur India: Twin hiccups to impact near-term performance

Tata Power: Future looks bright, but valuation could cap upside in the near term

What else are we reading?

The Eastern Window: Why China's Solomon Islands deal is causing jitters in the West

India’s semiconductor push can benefit from a focused approach, effective policies

ONDC: E-commerce revolution or too much hype?

India will get older before it gets richer

Ruchir Sharma writes: Thanks but no Faangs — the folly of investing in acronyms (republished from the FT)

AAP's misuse of Punjab Police raises disturbing questions

Spring Flowers Are Blooming Earlier Because of Climate Change

Obesity Is Stalking Poor Countries, Where Hunger Once Reigned

Technical Picks: Cipla, USD-INR, Colgate, KEC International, Hero MotoCorp and Silver mini MCX (These are published every trading day before markets open and can be read on the app)

Moneycontrol Pro

Download your money calendar for 2022-23 here and keep your dates with your moneybox, investments, taxes