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Subscribe to Syngene International IPO: FinQuest Securities

FinQuest Securities has come out with its IPO note on Syngene International. The research firm has recommended to subscribe to this issue. "The future uptick from the CMS opportunity could result in premium valuations for Syngene in the near term as well", says the report.

July 28, 2015 / 14:40 IST
     
     
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    Syngene International IPO note by FinQuest Securities
    Syngene offers integrated drug discovery and development services with capabilities in medicinal chemistry, biology, in vivo pharmacology and toxicology. It has a research team of 2,122 scientists. Syngene provides contract drug discovery, research and manufacturing services to 17 of the world's top 20 pharmaceutical companies, including Bristol Myers Squibb & Co and Abbott Laboratories Ltd. The company's revenue, EBITDA and earnings grew at a CAGR of 28%, 31% and 59% respectively in the last four years. The company operates in the CRO (Contract Research Organization) space which has a huge potential. The overall growth in the multinational R&D stands at 3-5%but considering the size of spend at ~$140bn the potential seems huge. According to the company out of the total $140bn in global R&D spend ~66% could be outsourced while currently it i s ~50% via clinical trials etc. But going ahead this could go upto 60-70%.

    "In January, Biocon sold 10% stake in Syngene for Rs 380 crore to IVF Trustee Company valuing it at Rs 185 per share, but this was based on 9 months earnings (annualized earnings of 9MFY15 were much lower than what was reported for FY15). At Rs.240-250, Syngene is valued at 27-28 times its FY15 earnings and 22x FY16E earnings while the S&P BSE Healthcare index trades at a TTM P/E multiple of 33x. Globally, Quintiles Transnational Holdings Inc is a major player in the CRO space while the management says Wuxi Pharmatec is the closest competitor from China both of which are trading at a 1 year forward PE of 24x. We believe, in India SPARC and, Hikal, though much smaller than Syngene are close competitors in this space. While Hikal is trading at 27x on a TTM basis SPARC is still making losses. Taking into account the future CMO opportunity and long term relationships with clients we believe the earnings should continue to grow at a CAGR of 30%. With an ROE of ~23%, EBITDA margin of ~34% and positive free cash flow, the company could easily trade at 30x its 1 year forward earnings giving an upside of ~35% from the issue price. The incremental growth from CMS could take the company into a much higher growth trajectory, but this growth is at least a year away. The future uptick from the CMS opportunity could result in premium valuations for Syngene in the near term as well", says FinQuest Securities research report.

    Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

    first published: Jul 28, 2015 10:07 am

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