ICICI Securities's research report on Mishra Dhatu Nigam
Mishra Dhatu Nigam (MIDHANI) reported an impressive Q3FY25 performance. Key points: 1) Lower cost and higher recycling resulted in EBITDA growth of 46% YoY despite 6% YoY decline in revenue; 2) traction from exports visible; 3) value of production (VoP) was down 13% YoY to INR 2.6bn; and 4) orderbook stood robust at INR 19.4bn, implying book/bill (ttm) at 1.8x. Going ahead, we see ramp-up of newly commissioned 500tpa VAR and focus on cost and inventory to be the key growth drivers. We roll over valuation to FY27E; however, factoring in the risk from volatility in currently low (imported) raw material prices,
Outlook
we lower valuation multiple to 17x (earlier 20x). Our revised TP works out to INR 375 (earlier INR 355) on 17x FY27E EBITDA. Upgrade MIDHANI to BUY (from Add).
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