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Manas Chakravarty

Group Consulting Editor

Moneycontrol

Putin doubles down on his disastrous Ukraine gamble 

BUSINESS

Putin doubles down on his disastrous Ukraine gamble 

The Russian power elite is unable to reconcile to the reality that they are now a pale shadow of what the Soviet Union used to be, their army is no Red Army, their generals are not Marshal Zhukov

Waiting for the Fed — How much is priced in?

BUSINESS

Waiting for the Fed — How much is priced in?

On the eve of the FOMC meeting, the market has already priced in a 75 basis point hike. Investors will look for clues whether the fall in inflation expectations and the slowing of US growth will make the Fed less hawkish

Will the US Fed tip the world into a recession?

BUSINESS

Will the US Fed tip the world into a recession?

The worry in the markets is that the Fed is misreading the situation and tightening at a time when growth is slowing and inflation has peaked. The hope is that the Fed will pivot sometime next year 

Government economic review says India’s growth resilient but flags risks

BUSINESS

Government economic review says India’s growth resilient but flags risks

The report says the main risks are from the external sector

RBI Bulletin: Economy primed for take-off 

BUSINESS

RBI Bulletin: Economy primed for take-off 

The RBI Bulletin’s state of the economy report says growth is strong for the Indian economy, demand is robust, and inflation is coming down

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | The weight of money 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | The weight of money 

In today’s edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: India to crackdown on illegal loan apps, Congress attempts to claim opposition leadership, SEBI’s image makeover, Rajasthan's job scheme, and more

Retail inflation rebounds in August, sparking fears of another 50 bps rate hike

BUSINESS

Retail inflation rebounds in August, sparking fears of another 50 bps rate hike

Even though inflation in India is supply-driven, higher food prices are the main drivers of inflationary expectations in India, which is why the Monetary Policy Committee needs to respond forcefully

Industrial production: Where's the growth?

BUSINESS

Industrial production: Where's the growth?

Between April and July 2019, the IIP improved from 126.5 to 131.8, a gain of 5.3 points. Between April and July 2018, the IIP went up from 122.6 to 125.7, a gain of 3.1 points. But between April and July 2022, the gain in IIP has been a mere 0.1 point. Clearly, momentum in industrial production has been far from impressive

Human Development Report: India is no Sri Lanka and that’s a good thing

BUSINESS

Human Development Report: India is no Sri Lanka and that’s a good thing

India’s ranking on human development is level with its level of income. The report points to growth being essential for development

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | A festive boost 

MARKETS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | A festive boost 

There are all tell-tale signs. Consumer demand may be looking up as festive season kicks in, but will that be good enough for growth?

You just can't miss the pent-up demand for bank credit

BUSINESS

You just can't miss the pent-up demand for bank credit

Growth in non-food bank credit outstanding this fiscal year is not only higher than in pre-pandemic times, but the highest in at least the last ten years

What will be the impact of a global slowdown on India?

BUSINESS

What will be the impact of a global slowdown on India?

The growth spurts in the 1990s and 2000s decades were accompanied by a rapid rise in exports of goods and services

The apocalyptic vision of Zoltan Pozsar

BUSINESS

The apocalyptic vision of Zoltan Pozsar

The world is already in an economic war, says investment guru Zoltan Pozsar and that will mean economic security, rather than convenience or lower cost, will be the touchstone of policy. That is likely to mean higher inflation and lower growth

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Fighting the Fed 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Fighting the Fed 

India is bracing for the ripple effect of the frontloading of rate hikes by the US Fed. The question is, can it have the last laugh

PMI: Manufacturing strong, inflation lower; business optimism at 6-year high

BUSINESS

PMI: Manufacturing strong, inflation lower; business optimism at 6-year high

With new orders high and inventory low, stage set for continued growth

Between April-June 2019 and April-June 2022, GDP growth was 3.8 percent

BUSINESS

Between April-June 2019 and April-June 2022, GDP growth was 3.8 percent

Pent-up demand continues to be strong, especially in the services sector 

The stark warnings from Jackson Hole 

BUSINESS

The stark warnings from Jackson Hole 

BIS general manager says the global economy may be approaching ‘what in aviation is called a “coffin corner”, the delicate spot when an aircraft slows to below its stall speed and cannot generate enough lift to maintain its altitude’

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | China’s Minsky moment 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | China’s Minsky moment 

China’s unbridled debt-fuelled growth bears out Minsky’s famous theory: Stability breeds instability

Why are our neighbouring economies in trouble and why is India an exception?

BUSINESS

Why are our neighbouring economies in trouble and why is India an exception?

If an economy runs a high fiscal deficit, has high levels of external debt and doesn’t have the insurance of high foreign exchange reserves, it is asking for trouble

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Ice, fire, ice?

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Ice, fire, ice?

In today’s edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: Commodity maths for central banks, Pidilite’s sticking point, the NPA dragon lying low, Sebi’s settlement formula has a problem, steel's cup of woes and more

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | RBI Bulletin: India’s time has arrived 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | RBI Bulletin: India’s time has arrived 

Winds are blowing clearly in India’s favour despite all the odds, according to the latest State of the Economy report. Are investors listening?

Why are markets rallying even as record 90 percent fund managers predict stagflation?

MARKETS

Why are markets rallying even as record 90 percent fund managers predict stagflation?

The Bank of America survey of fund managers says while sentiment is still too bearish for an immediate reversal of the rally, they would fade the rally when the S&P goes above 4328 

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and the long bull market

BUSINESS

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and the long bull market

The Big Bull once made a surprising claim—that we are in a long bull market since 1981. What's special about this period? Could a change in the macro environment wipe out all the gains? 

India @75 | A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity 

BUSINESS

India @75 | A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity 

A political and economic shift away from China is taking hold. As we celebrate the 76th Independence Day, India is at a vantage point to seize this once-in-a-generation moment

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