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Manas Chakravarty

Group Consulting Editor

Moneycontrol

Government economic review says India’s growth resilient but flags risks

BUSINESS

Government economic review says India’s growth resilient but flags risks

The report says the main risks are from the external sector

RBI Bulletin: Economy primed for take-off 

BUSINESS

RBI Bulletin: Economy primed for take-off 

The RBI Bulletin’s state of the economy report says growth is strong for the Indian economy, demand is robust, and inflation is coming down

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | The weight of money 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | The weight of money 

In today’s edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: India to crackdown on illegal loan apps, Congress attempts to claim opposition leadership, SEBI’s image makeover, Rajasthan's job scheme, and more

Retail inflation rebounds in August, sparking fears of another 50 bps rate hike

BUSINESS

Retail inflation rebounds in August, sparking fears of another 50 bps rate hike

Even though inflation in India is supply-driven, higher food prices are the main drivers of inflationary expectations in India, which is why the Monetary Policy Committee needs to respond forcefully

Industrial production: Where's the growth?

BUSINESS

Industrial production: Where's the growth?

Between April and July 2019, the IIP improved from 126.5 to 131.8, a gain of 5.3 points. Between April and July 2018, the IIP went up from 122.6 to 125.7, a gain of 3.1 points. But between April and July 2022, the gain in IIP has been a mere 0.1 point. Clearly, momentum in industrial production has been far from impressive

Human Development Report: India is no Sri Lanka and that’s a good thing

BUSINESS

Human Development Report: India is no Sri Lanka and that’s a good thing

India’s ranking on human development is level with its level of income. The report points to growth being essential for development

You just can't miss the pent-up demand for bank credit

BUSINESS

You just can't miss the pent-up demand for bank credit

Growth in non-food bank credit outstanding this fiscal year is not only higher than in pre-pandemic times, but the highest in at least the last ten years

What will be the impact of a global slowdown on India?

BUSINESS

What will be the impact of a global slowdown on India?

The growth spurts in the 1990s and 2000s decades were accompanied by a rapid rise in exports of goods and services

The apocalyptic vision of Zoltan Pozsar

BUSINESS

The apocalyptic vision of Zoltan Pozsar

The world is already in an economic war, says investment guru Zoltan Pozsar and that will mean economic security, rather than convenience or lower cost, will be the touchstone of policy. That is likely to mean higher inflation and lower growth

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Fighting the Fed 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Fighting the Fed 

India is bracing for the ripple effect of the frontloading of rate hikes by the US Fed. The question is, can it have the last laugh

PMI: Manufacturing strong, inflation lower; business optimism at 6-year high

BUSINESS

PMI: Manufacturing strong, inflation lower; business optimism at 6-year high

With new orders high and inventory low, stage set for continued growth

Between April-June 2019 and April-June 2022, GDP growth was 3.8 percent

BUSINESS

Between April-June 2019 and April-June 2022, GDP growth was 3.8 percent

Pent-up demand continues to be strong, especially in the services sector 

The stark warnings from Jackson Hole 

BUSINESS

The stark warnings from Jackson Hole 

BIS general manager says the global economy may be approaching ‘what in aviation is called a “coffin corner”, the delicate spot when an aircraft slows to below its stall speed and cannot generate enough lift to maintain its altitude’

Why are our neighbouring economies in trouble and why is India an exception?

BUSINESS

Why are our neighbouring economies in trouble and why is India an exception?

If an economy runs a high fiscal deficit, has high levels of external debt and doesn’t have the insurance of high foreign exchange reserves, it is asking for trouble

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Ice, fire, ice?

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Ice, fire, ice?

In today’s edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: Commodity maths for central banks, Pidilite’s sticking point, the NPA dragon lying low, Sebi’s settlement formula has a problem, steel's cup of woes and more

Why are markets rallying even as record 90 percent fund managers predict stagflation?

MARKETS

Why are markets rallying even as record 90 percent fund managers predict stagflation?

The Bank of America survey of fund managers says while sentiment is still too bearish for an immediate reversal of the rally, they would fade the rally when the S&P goes above 4328 

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and the long bull market

BUSINESS

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and the long bull market

The Big Bull once made a surprising claim—that we are in a long bull market since 1981. What's special about this period? Could a change in the macro environment wipe out all the gains? 

India@75: Who benefited the most from economic growth?

BUSINESS

India@75: Who benefited the most from economic growth?

The income of the richest 10 percent went up by 42 percent between 1951 and 1980 and by 435 percent between 1980 and 2015

Despite the Fed raising rates, US financial conditions are loosening again

BUSINESS

Despite the Fed raising rates, US financial conditions are loosening again

The Chicago Fed’s Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index is now lower than what it was back in March 2022, despite the Fed having raised the policy rate by 200 basis points since then

India@75: How have we done on per capita income?

BUSINESS

India@75: How have we done on per capita income?

At the time of Independence, our per capita income was lower than that of Afghanistan, Zambia, Zimbabwe, the Central African Republic, and the Congo. On the other hand, it was higher than that of China and South Korea 

Was the rising trade deficit a reason for RBI’s hawkishness?

BUSINESS

Was the rising trade deficit a reason for RBI’s hawkishness?

Non-POL imports have been rising sharply while exports are likely to be affected by the slowdown in the advanced economies

The PM is right, India’s government spending is too high 

BUSINESS

The PM is right, India’s government spending is too high 

India’s govt revenues/GDP ratio for its level of per capita income is all right; it’s the govt expenditure that is the problem

The hidden cost of free lunches 

BUSINESS

The hidden cost of free lunches 

No nation has consumed its way to greatness

The story the latest data will tell the Monetary Policy Committee

BUSINESS

The story the latest data will tell the Monetary Policy Committee

The PMI data for July show a sharp rate of expansion of the Indian economy, albeit with some loss of momentum

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