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Trend likely to remain weak if Nifty remains below 17,000 mark

The Nifty50 has witnessed significant amount of Call writing at higher levels and there has not been enough Put writing at the lower end to find a meaningful support on the derivative front. The uptrend will resume only once we close above the level of 17,100.

September 29, 2022 / 07:49 IST
     
     
    26 Aug, 2025 12:21
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    Kunal Shah, Senior Technical & Derivative Analyst at LKP Securities

    Nifty ended in the red after a volatile trading session on September 28. The index closed below 200 day moving average (DMA - 16,987) for the first time after several days. The momentum oscillator RSI (relative strength index) is in a bearish crossover.

    On the daily chart, the index has touched a low around the historical swing high. The trend is likely to remain weak as long as it remains below 17,000.

    The index has witnessed significant amount of Call writing at higher levels and there has not been enough Put writing at the lower end to find a meaningful support on the derivative front. The uptrend will resume only once we close above the level of 17,100.

    Here are three buy calls for next 2-3 weeks:

    Dr Reddy's Laboratories: Buy | LTP: Rs 4,269.7 | Stop-Loss: Rs 4,000 | Target: Rs 4,500-4,600 | Return: 5-8 percent

    Dr Reddy's Labs on the daily chart has been consolidating in a broad range between Rs 4,000-4,300 levels. The stock for the past few days is showing signs of strong buying with bullish candlestick formation confirming the base formation.

    The stock is on the verge of a breakout from a falling trend line which will accelerate the move on the upside.

    Image192892022

    Asian Paints: Buy | LTP: Rs 3570.65 | Stop-Loss: Rs 3,400 | Target: Rs 3,700-3,740 | Return: 4-5%

    The stock has given a breakout from a rounding bottom formation on the daily chart with rising volumes. The momentum oscillator RSI (relative strength index) has also given a positive crossover and surpassed the level of 60 which confirms the internal strength.

    The MACD (moving average convergence and divergence) indicator has given a buy crossover from the zero line confirming the buy signal on another momentum indicator.

    Image202892022

    Max Financial Services: Sell | LTP: Rs 753 | Stop-Loss: Rs 790 | Target: Rs 710-700 | Return: 6-7%

    The stock on the larger time frame, that is, the weekly chart, was trading in a strong downtrend with lower high and lower low formations intact.

    The stock in Wednesday's trading session has given a fresh breakdown from a sideways trend which confirms bearishness in the near term.

    The MACD also giving a negative crossover below the zero line confirms sell signal.

    Image212892022

    Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

    Kunal Shah
    Kunal Shah is the Senior Technical and Derivative Analyst at LKP Securities. He has over 9 years of experience in the field of derivative markets. He is an MBA graduate with specializations in finance.
    first published: Sep 29, 2022 07:49 am

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