Though rising bond yields could have some impact on foreign flows, analysts remain bullish on Indian markets' construct, saying that it is mainly being driven by domestic liquidity
Investors cheered the Fed commentary, pushing all the major Wall Street indices to fresh record highs. Asian markets also surged, tracking the mother market's gains.
US bond yields have reached the highest level since 2007. Interestingly, in a break from tradition, gold and crude prices are also rising along with the yields, thanks to the global geopolitical uncertainties.
Although bond yields have come down since Bill Ackman and Bill Gross said the US economy was slowing, the advance PMI for the US shows surprising strength
Market expert Atul Suri highlights how a rise in US bond yields can hinder the growth of Indian markets. He believes that the narrative of rate hikes bottoming out towards the year end may prove false.
No matter what the central bank does, investors face more pain after volatility surged to levels not seen since the 2008 financial crisis
Spot gold was down 0.2% at $1,834.09 per ounce, as of 0044 GMT, its lowest since May 20. U.S. gold futures fell 0.6% to $1,838.20.
Spot gold held its ground at $1,816.63 per ounce at 0047 GMT. U.S. gold futures edged 0.1% lower to $1,814.10.
Spot gold was down 0.2% at $1,886.76 per ounce as of 0308 GMT, after rising more than 1% in the previous session, as U.S. May non-farm payrolls fell short of expectations.
Stocks such as Tesla and Alphabet, which have struggled in recent weeks as bond yields advanced due to rising inflation worries, were among the top boosts to the benchmark S&P 500 index with the 10-year U.S. Treasury note holding below the 1.6% level.
Selected mid and small-cap counters have room to grow disproportionately. We keep looking for companies with lesser debt and growth plans, says Sharma.
India is on the cusp of a virtuous economic growth cycle, which will culminate into stronger momentum of earnings recovery and help markets perform reasonably well, says Kumar.
The scrappage policy is good for the entire auto pack—private as well as commercial vehicles. However, old vehicles are not that high in numbers, so the benefit would be a long-drawn process, says Kothari.
Global cues turned negative following a spike in US bond yields and a surge in COVID-19 cases across the globe, including India, leading to some bit of profit-taking at higher levels.
Sector rotation will be the key to generate outperformance & we believe that a well-managed business where the earning and growth visibility is high, return ratios are very good will continue to do well irrespective of the weaker global cues, suggest Chadawar.
Roy says he remains positive on markets from a medium to long-term perspective and expects the Nifty and the Sensex to touch new highs despite any near-term volatility.
Strong global cues, vaccine news promises quick recovery across the globe, strong micro & macro data, as well as fall in the dollar index and stability in US Treasury Yields, lift sentiment.
History suggests equity fall induced by bond sell-off is just a blip in a long-term bull market
Investors can move their money to pharma stocks during this correction as they have been consolidating for some time now and could see some pickup, says Shah.
The market is currently driven by global liquidity and it would be too early for investors to take money off the table, Apabhai of Citigroup has said. Yes, valuations do look extreme but investors should not worry about that too much and enjoy the liquidity party for a month of two.
Vibhav says demonetisation or not, the Indian market is bound to suffer due to this in the near-term. Nifty, he says is sure to break the Brexit day low point of 7,927 points.
As of now, global investors are a bit cautious on India because they don‘t understand the risks and therefore are unable to plot for the short-term, said Nick Parsons, Head of Research, UK & Europe, National Australia Bank.
The 41-year old Jain‘s theory is based on the bet that governments in developed countries will switch to fiscal stimulus to revive their economies, since monetary stimuli by central banks have been shown to be largely ineffective.
Brokers expect a steep sell off in many small and midcap companies which could see pressure on cash flows in the short term because of the government‘s move to demonetize Rs 500 and Rs 1000 currency notes
Expect rupee to trade in the range of 63.80-63.95/dollar today, says NS Venkatesh of IDBI Bank.