Plus the capex boom
It’s a dangerous moment for retail investors. They are stepping in as FIIs are exiting, even using borrowed money to back their conviction. History has proved unkind to such unbridled optimism
Since 2009, Nifty has had a positive close in July on 75 percent of the occasions, making it the month with the best chance of ending with gains, if only looks at the data for last 16 years.
The Iran-Israel conflict has set the stage for a week that will see US Fed and BoJ consider key policy decisions, along with a summit level meeting of Group of Seven leaders, and market participants will weight if the cues get further complicated.
Sivaram said it is advisable for investors to miss six months of whatever returns the market has to offer, and instead protect their capital in this phase.
Indian markets have rallied by 8 percent from their lows this March. What sparked this sudden surge, and have investors missed the boat?
Some experts are attributing the strong rebound seen on November 22 to the share market factoring in the state election outcome being in-line with the exit poll findings.
China’s markets are shedding recent gains after stimulus measures post-holidays failed to meet inflated expectations. Unless a substantial fiscal stimulus is announced, markets are unlikely to sustain gains
The answer depends on what type of a market player you are, a long-term investor or a short-term trader
A significant portion of the rally in mid-caps can be attributed to the substantial inflows of mid-cap, small-cap, and sectoral/thematic funds. Mid-cap funds, which attracted just Rs 500 crore in 2020, saw inflows of Rs 1,600 crore in July 2024 alone and a total of Rs 22,900 crore in 2023
Mutual funds and PMS fund managers face pressure to deploy funds, despite expensive valuations. They may lean towards largecaps to mitigate volatility, although this trend could further inflate valuations in that segment, analysts said
One of the anomalies from this strategy is in the market capitalisation of sectors and discounting absurd price, volume and profitability assumptions in perpetuity, they wrote
While state elections have shown no correlation with Lok Sabha elections in the past, it nonetheless removes a key overhang of political uncertainty for the markets for the next five months, noted broking firm Motilal Oswal.
Every rally comes with the caveat of the markets becoming expensive, especially when earnings growth has not been up to the mark
Many market experts have cautioned that valuations are slowly getting into the expensive territory, unless of course, the companies can sustain or even better the earnings growth rates seen over the last couple of quarters
The near-term trigger for the rally has been foreign buying due to China’s economy slipping on the growth front. While India’s attractiveness is also visible, some near-term risks have developed
The breakout in the markets has come at a time when the Indian economy is standing out from the global rout
The current rally in the US markets has been full of surprises, as it has come at a time when central banks have been raising interest rates and growth is expected to slow down
The overall market sentiment has improved considerably over the last three weeks, but investors are in no hurry to loosen their purse strings
In their latest report, DSP Mutual Fund’s markets strategy and economy team points to the factors favouring the domestic market
The rally over the past two months was not broad based, with limited participation by mid-cap and small-cap stocks.
A stronger rupee is likely to trigger foreign inflows into Indian markets while easing imported inflation
The crucial difference is that while the Purchasing Managers Index is based on expectations of manufacturers and service providers, stock market movement is based on expectations of investors
Nagpal, who studies the Ichimoku indicators and harmonic patterns in stock movements, says the global picture is gloomy. The current rally is a bear-market one and he expects midcaps and small caps to outperform large caps.