The benchmark 10-year bond yield was trading at 6.9451%; the rupee gains 1.3%
The Centre has pegged net market borrowing at Rs 11.7 lakh crore for FY27, around Rs 50,000 crore higher than FY26, reflecting a calibrated increase to support higher capital spending. Gross market borrowing, however, has been set at Rs 17.2 lakh crore, a sharp jump from the current year. This increase is largely explained by the maturity profile of government securities, with redemptions in FY27 estimated at Rs 5.47 lakh crore.
Government borrowings are among the most important determinants of interest rates in the economy. Higher-than-expected borrowings can push up rates for all bond issuers — sovereign and corporate — while interest rates can decline if it tightens its belt and borrows less than anticipated.
Estimates for green bond issuance, which is unlikely to see an increase, range from Rs 20,000-25,000 crore, or around 5 percent of total borrowing, a Monyecontrol poll has found
A tight fiscal policy and an accommodative monetary policy is the best outcome for bonds
The spreads beyond 10-year bond yield have widened and the curve has steepened
In union Budget 2025, gross market borrowing numbers announced by the government was around 6 percent higher for next financial year, as compared to current fiscal year.
In the first half of current financial year, the Centre has borrowed nearly Rs 7 lakh crore and plans to borrow Rs 6.61 lakh crore in the second half.
In July, 2024, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced the gross borrowing target from the markets in 2024-25 of Rs 14.01 lakh crore to finance its fiscal deficit of 4.9 percent of the GDP.
The yield on the 364-day treasury bill dipped to 6.7240% in an auction on Wednesday, the least since September 2022. The yield on other very short-dated papers also dipped.
The share of interest payments to GDP was 3.6 percent, while the share of the capex outlay was 3.2 percent in FY24, according to a Crisil report, on rising interest expenses.
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman in a speech presenting the full Budget for 2024-25, said the Centre marginally cut the gross borrowing target from the markets in 2024-25 to Rs 14.01 lakh crore to finance its fiscal deficit of 4.9 percent of the GDP.
In the interim budget on February 1, the central government said it would borrow Rs 14.13 lakh crore from the markets in 2024-25 in gross terms to finance its fiscal deficit of 5.1 percent of the GDP.
In April-September, the size of the weekly government bond auctions will range from Rs 22,000 crore to Rs 38,000 crore.
The RBI will leverage on the fiscal restraint shown by the central government and is likely to deliver rate cuts in the second half of FY25
The interim Budget for the fiscal year 2024-25 will be presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on February 1
The interim Budget for the fiscal year 2024-25 will be presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on February 1.