The West Asia conflict has renewed concerns about volatility in global energy markets and its implications for large oil-importing economies such as India
The government has tightened checks on 'mis-declared' gold and platinum imports. The basic customs duty on the yellow metal has been cut from 15% to 6% in July 2024
Indian exporters have rushed their US-bound shipments ahead of the August 27 tariff deadline. Exports to America have risen around 22 percent on-year so far in this fiscal till July, which is higher than the trend of 17-18 percent growth rate.
So far in June, crude prices have rallied 24 percent to reach $75 per barrel, building on a 4 percent gain in May. The Strait of Hormuz—a strategic chokepoint that handles nearly 20 percent of global oil flows—is now at the center of concern, with markets pricing in potential supply disruptions.
However, during the first half of the current fiscal (April-September), the current account deficit remained flat at 1.2 percent or $21.4 billion on a year-on-year basis.
The narrowing of India's trade deficit in FY24 is largely attributed to a reduction in net imports of oil, chemicals, ores and minerals. But the recent uptick in crude prices owing to the flare-up in the conflict in the Middle East may pose a risk to the country's external balances going ahead.
For the April-December period of the ongoing financial year, India’s current account deficit moderated to 1.2 percent of GDP from 2.6 percent in the corresponding period a year ago on the back of a lower merchandise trade deficit.
The Indian current account deficit for July- September 2023-24 fell to $ 8.3 billion as compared to a deficit of $ 30.9 billion in the same period last year and $ 9.2 billion in the previous quarter
For the first half of 2023-24, India's current account deficit more than halved to $17.5 bn from $48.8 bn in April-September 2022, Reserve Bank of India data showed.
India's merchandise trade deficit hit an all-time high of $31.46 billion in October as gold imports nearly doubled from last year. But economists remain untroubled and are sticking to their full-year forecasts for the current account deficit
According to data released on September 28 by the Reserve Bank of India, India's Current Account Deficit surged to $9.2 billion in the first quarter of 2023-24
In the January-March quarter, India's current account deficit was $1.3 billion, the Reserve Bank of India said
A sharp sequential uptick in goods imports driven by a pick-up in inbound shipments of oil led to an increase of nearly 17 percent in India’s merchandise trade deficit in August compared to July.
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