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Hold ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems; target of Rs 12,810: ICICI Securities

ICICI Securities recommended hold rating on ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems with a target price of Rs 12,810 in its research report dated August 01, 2023.

August 03, 2023 / 08:55 IST
Hold
     
     
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    ICICI Securities research report on ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems

    ZFCVCS (ZFI) has delivered a 10-quarter high gross margin, driven by improving mix and lagged price hikes, resulting in flat EBITDAM QoQ. ZFI’s revenue from domestic OEMs was up ~20% YoY, driven by new business generation from electronic stability control system sales to buses, electronic braking system applications, electronic compressors and driver assistance systems. Going ahead, ZFI is planning to ramp-up EBITDAM, led by improving mix of new complex products at the cost of lower margin commoditised products, improving productivity and tighter control on pricing. We are building in ~24% revenue CAGR for FY23-25E with mean EBITDAM of ~15.5%.

    Outlook

    We downgrade ZFI to HOLD from Add post 40% return in the past 6 months with a revised DCF-based target price of INR 12,810 (earlier INR 11,433), implying 40x FY25E earnings.

    For all recommendations report, click here

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    ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems - 01 -08 - 2023 - isc

    Broker Research
    first published: Aug 3, 2023 08:55 am

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