On the charts, Nifty faces strong resistance at 23,345–23,380, and until this zone is decisively breached alongside improvement in FII positioning, the broader undertone is likely to remain cautious with a sell-on-rise approach, said Sudeep Shah.
When PCR OI is rising, sentiment is bullish and prices tend to follow. When PCR OI is falling, sentiment is bearish and prices tend to drift lower.
The Nifty 50 is likely to defend the 22,900 support (Thursday's low). Above this level, the possible resistance is placed at 23,200, followed by 23,500. However, below it, 22,700 cannot be ruled out.
The market is expected to see consolidation with range-bound trading after the severe correction. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
The immediate crucial support for Nifty 50 at 22,900 is key to watch in the next few sessions, as a decisive fall below this level can increase the possibility of a downward move toward 22,700–22,500.
In the upcoming sessions, if it decisively breaks and closes below the 22,900 support level, selling pressure may intensify further toward 22,700 (78.6 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from the April 2025 low to the January 2026 high).
If the Nifty 50 decisively breaks the 23,600–23,500 zone, bears may regain control and drag the index toward the current week's low of around 23,000–22,950.
The market is expected to be negatively impacted by rising oil prices and concerns over a prolonged pause in the Fed funds rate amid inflation worries. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
If the Nifty breaks 23,600 (Wednesday's low), a decline toward the 23,500–23,350 zone is possible in the coming sessions. However, a further rally toward 24,000 is likely only if the index closes above and sustains the 23,800 resistance level, according to experts.
An analyst said that a decisive close above 23,850 could trigger short covering, potentially pushing the index towards 24,000 and higher levels
With the improving trend, the Nifty 50 may move toward the psychological 24,000–24,100 zonein the next few sessions, provided it closes above and sustains 23,800 in the following session. Immediate support is placed at 23,600–23,500, according to experts.
If the Nifty 50 reclaims and sustains above the 23,600–23,700 levels, a rally toward the 23,800–24,000 zone may be seen. Until then, consolidation cannot be ruled out, with support at 23,350.
The market is expected to consolidate with range-bound trading after the two-day rally. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
According to experts, the Nifty 50 needs to close and sustain above the 23,600–23,700 levels in the next few sessions for a move toward the 23,800–24,000 zone. Until then, consolidation may continue, with immediate support at 23,350, followed by 23,000 as a crucial support level.
Weekly options data continues to suggest that resistance for the Nifty 50 is placed at 24,000, with support at 23,000. A decisive move is likely only after a breakout on either side of this range.
In case of a further uptrend, the Nifty 50 may face resistance at the 23,500–23,700 zone, followed by 24,000, but the move may look unsustainable due to a sell-on-rally approach. Meanwhile, support is placed at the 23,000–22,950 zone.
The market needs follow-up buying interest and a sustainable close above the previous week's high for stability. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
Sustainability of uptrend will be the key going forward. Overall, the structure is still in favour of bears, and the focus remains on oil prices, with traders monitoring developments related to the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran.
Analysts say the overall sentiment remained cautious amid continuing geopolitical tensions in West Asia and elevated crude oil prices.
Weekly options data suggested that the Nifty 50 is expected to trade in the 23,000–24,000 range in the short term, as a decisive close on either side could provide a firm direction to the index, with immediate resistance at 23,500.
The Bank Nifty needs to defend 53,500 for a move toward 54,700 (50% Fibonacci level), but a decisive fall below it could open the door for 53,000.
The market may continue to consolidate with a negative bias amid the West Asia tensions. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
According to experts, if the Nifty fails to take support at the psychological level of 23,000, a fall toward 22,700 cannot be ruled out in the upcoming sessions. However, 23,300–23,500 can act as immediate resistance.
Given the current chart structure and weak momentum setup, any near term rebound, if it occurs, is likely to attract fresh selling interest, especially near resistance zones, said Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities.
Markets don't move in straight lines. They bounce on the way down and pull back on the way up. That's exactly what catches traders out, confusing a retracement for a reversal.