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Hold IndusInd Bank; target of Rs 750: Sushil Finance

Sushil Finance has recommended hold rating on IndusInd Bank with a target price of Rs 750, in its research report dated October 21, 2014.

November 03, 2014 / 19:03 IST
     
     
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    Sushil Finance`s research report on IndusInd Bank

    “Indusind Bank Ltd. (IIB) has reported good set of numbers for the quarter ended September’14 with superior growth & stable asset quality. We attended the conference call of the company and following are the key highlights of the results.”“Healthy advances growth (~22% YoY) coupled with stable NIMs (3.63% v/s 3.66% Q1) resulted in strong NII growth which grew by ~19% YoY & 4% QoQ to Rs.8.3 bn. Advances growth was mainly on back of robust growth in corporate loan book which grew by ~37% YoY while retail portfolio grew by modest 7% YoY. Sluggish growth in retail was on account of flattish growth in vehicle segment while non-vehicle segment witnessed strong growth in the quarter (Corp/Retail 57:43). Deposits grew by ~24% YoY on back of better CASA growth which stood at ~33% YoY. CASA ratio improved by 60 bps in Q2 to 33.9% (Q1-33.3%). Better growth in Forex, Distribution/Loan processing fees & Investment Banking led to strong growth in corefee income which grew by 31% YoY & 5% QoQ. Management expects core-fee income to remain stable going forward. Healthy NII growth, stable NIM’s, consistent core-fee income growth coupled with cost optimization (C/I – 47.9%) has led to healthy growth in PPP which grew by ~23% YoY.Asset Quality remained stable with GNPA & NNPA at 1.08% & 0.33% resp. Slippages in Q2 were low at 0.8% (annualized) with remarkable improvement seen in corporate & CV portfolio. Total Credit Cost for Q2 & H1 stood at 10 bps & 25 bps resp. while PCR stood at 70%. Restructured book increased slightly to 0.5% due to 4-5 new accounts getting restructured in this quarter. CRAR under Basel III stood at ~13.0% with ROE & ROA at ~18% & 1.9% respectively.Management Guidance: 1) NIMs likely to remain stable with upward bias due to likely asset rebalancing & lower cost of deposits. 2) CV cycle showing signs of bottoming out with revival expected over next few months (~20% of book). Have witnessed some uptick in Auto segment incl. CV in Sept’14 after almost 12-15 months. 3) Branch expansion to continue - added 85 branches in H1 to 687 branches & expects the total branches to reach 800 by FY15 end. 4) Credit cost for FY15E to be ~50-55 bps.” “Strong advances growth, healthy NIMs coupled with stable asset quality has led to superior performance in the current quarter. Strong execution track record coupled with well-defined strategy over FY14-17E (advances growth CAGR ~25-30%) to auger well for the bank’s growth over the next 3-4 years. Sustainable & profitable above-industry growth with stable asset quality & improving return ratios to result in likely re-rating of the stock going forward. Moreover, we have been conservative on asset quality assumptions, thus providing upside risk to our estimates. Hence, considering the sound fundamentals & strong growth prospects, we remain positive on the stock & recommend ‘Hold’ with a revised price target of Rs.750 based on our FY17E estimate,” says Sushil Finance research report. 

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    first published: Nov 3, 2014 07:03 pm

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