Axis Capital's research report on Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services
We expect the growth softness to continue in the near term for MMFS (loan growth to remain weak in Q2), though structural drivers remain intact. As the festive season kicks in, we expect disbursements to pick up in H2. Though margin declined in Q1, it has levers in place to address this. With focus on asset quality, we do not expect any major challenges. Medium-term triggers include likelihood of provision reversal benefitting the earnings, recent approval to enter mortgage business to emerge as a balance sheet driver and room for operating leverage. Tier I at 16.4% is adequate for now, it will look to raise capital in FY26.
Outlook
We raise estimates by 3-6% on better operating leverage and roll-forward to Sept’26E. Raise TP to Rs 380 (2.2x H1FY27E P/ABV) from Rs 350. BUY.
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