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Buy Container Corporation; target of Rs 1605:Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal is bearish on Container Corporation and has recommended buy rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 1605 in its research report dated January 27, 2016.

January 29, 2016 / 11:01 IST
     
     
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    Motilal Oswal's research report on Container CorporationContainer Corporation (CCRI IN) reported in-line EBITDA at INR2.8b (est. of INR2.9b; -24% YoY, -11% QoQ). Revenue was also largely in line at INR14.0b (est. of INR13.7b; -3% YoY, -6% QoQ). Adjusted PAT was in line at INR2.1b (est. of INR2.0b; -32% YoY, -11% QoQ). Tax rate was 24.7% (est. of 26.4%) while other income was higher-than-estimate at INR813m (est. of INR780m; -5% YoY, -5% QoQ). Employee expenses increased 7% QoQ to INR396m. Overall volumes stood at 0.71m teu (-9% YoY and -6% QoQ), led by EXIM at 0.6m teu (-10% YoY, -8% QoQ) and domestic at 0.11m teu (-4% YoY, +6% QoQ). While DFC (Dedicated Freight Corridor) completion (expected in 2018/2019) will be a significant efficiency driver for CCRI, its investments in long gestation MMLP’s will impact near-term ratios.  We cut our FY17 earnings by 3% on the back of lower volume growth assumption of ~7% in EXIM and domestic in FY17.  We value CCRI on DFC-based valuation (WACC: 12.6%, TGR: 5%) to arrive at a fair value of INR1,605/sh (v/s INR1,636/sh earlier). The stock trades at a rich valuation of 22.3x FY17E EPS of INR54.2, with continued near-term volume growth concerns. Maintain Buy For all recommendations, click here Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

    first published: Jan 29, 2016 11:01 am

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