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HomeNewsBusinessCyient Q4 FY18 review: See double-digit growth in FY19, stock to re-rate from current levels

Cyient Q4 FY18 review: See double-digit growth in FY19, stock to re-rate from current levels

Mid-sized IT company Cyient ended FY18 on a positive note.

April 20, 2018 / 12:39 IST
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    Anubhav Sahu
    Moneycontrol Research

    Mid-sized IT company Cyient ended FY18 on a positive note. The management met earnings expectations in Q4, announced new initiatives for growth/tie-ups and guided for another year of double-digit growth. If the momentum sustains, a further re-rating cannot be ruled out.

    Q4 FY18: Strong sequential improvement
    In Q4 FY18, Cyient reported dollar revenue of $165 million, a sequential growth of 8.3% (17% YoY) led by double-digit growth in both services and design-led manufacturing (DLM) businesses.

    Geographically, Europe, West Asia and Africa (EMEA) region (31% YoY) led the growth in revenue. In terms of industry verticals, communications, transportation and semiconductor continued with their growth momentum.

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    EBITDA margin at 14.1% witnessed a 79 bps YoY improvement on the back of operational efficiencies for the services business and scale benefits in the DLM business. Net profit, excluding one-offs, was up 16.2% YoY.

    New collaborations and initiatives
    In Q1 FY19, the company formed a joint-venture (JV) with Israel’s Bluebird Aero Systems to support unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) manufacturing and maintenance services in the Indian market. This entity will manufacture, integrate and test UAV systems in Hyderabad under a defence industrial licence with an initial production capacity of 100 systems per year. Estimated capex for this venture is $200 million.

    The company has launched a New Business Accelerator (NBA) programme with a focus on developing new products and services. Here, more than dozen opportunities have been identified in areas of Internet of Things (IoT), healthcare, aerospace and defence and semiconductor. Initial budget for this is to the tune of $700 million.

    Order inflow improves for DLM
    Total order intake at $730 million in FY18 was tad lower than that of the previous year ($751 million) on account of lower DLM order intake ($64 million versus $110 million in FY17). Sequentially, order intake for DLM improved in Q4 ($19 million versus $4 million in Q3 FY18).

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    Overall, the management appeared positive on the order pipeline and potential for new order intake in the near-term.

    Management guides at double-digit growth
    Cyient’s FY18 performance was broadly in-line with its guidance of double-digit growth and margin expansion of over 50 bps. For FY19, the management again guided to double-digit growth for services, 20% YoY growth for legacy DLM (excluding B&F Design acquisition) and tax rate benefit of over 200 bps (US tax rate reform and higher growth from SEZ). Growth in the DLM business, however, could dip in Q1 FY19 after a strong Q4 FY18.

    Operational efficiency is expected to aid 100 bps improvement in margin, but this could be offset by investment expenses.

    The free cash flow to EBITDA metric had declined to 26% in Q4 FY18 from 67% last year due to higher working capital expenses. However, the company remains confident of higher free cash flow conversion in FY19. In the case of DLM, the company expects to post positive free cash flow in FY19.

    cyient3

    Overall, we remain positive on Cyient’s leadership position in engineering services and expect the stock (14.9 times FY19e earnings) to re-rate as it executes its guidance.

    Anubhav Sahu
    first published: Apr 20, 2018 12:31 pm

    Disclosure & Disclaimer

    This Research Report / Research Recommendation has been published by Moneycontrol Dot Com India Limited (hereinafter referred to as “MCD”) which is a registered Investment Advisor under the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Investment Advisers) ...Read More

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