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  • What recession? Economy’s staying power poses big questions for the Fed June 09, 2023 12:04 AM IST

    What recession? Economy’s staying power poses big questions for the Fed

    America’s economy is not experiencing the drastic slowdown that many analysts had expected in light of the Federal Reserve’s 15-month, often aggressive campaign to hit the brakes on growth and bring rapid inflation under control.

  • Recession may not have a negative impact on value stocks, says GMO Partner Ben Inker June 02, 2023 04:11 PM IST

    Recession may not have a negative impact on value stocks, says GMO Partner Ben Inker

    While there are instances where value stocks disappoint investors during recessions, they are not more likely to do so than growth stocks

  • Unprecedented Optimism: Is This the Most Disliked Bull Market in History? June 02, 2023 01:17 PM IST

    Unprecedented Optimism: Is This the Most Disliked Bull Market in History?

    Despite the Russia-Ukraine war, high inflation, soaring interest rates, and concerns of an impending recession, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have surged significantly.

  • Indian IT sector – Has the tide turned? June 02, 2023 09:23 AM IST

    Indian IT sector – Has the tide turned?

    The worst fears of a deep recession in the developed economies is receding, a good sign for Indian IT companies

  • Debt deal adds brake on US economy already at risk of recession May 29, 2023 07:14 AM IST

    Debt deal adds brake on US economy already at risk of recession

    The tentative deal crafted by President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy over the weekend — assuming it’s passed by Congress in coming days — avoids the worst-case scenario of a payments default triggering financial collapse.

  • India's exports to Germany may get adversely impacted due to recession: Exporters May 26, 2023 01:13 PM IST

    India's exports to Germany may get adversely impacted due to recession: Exporters

    Data released by the Federal Statistical Office on Thursday shows that Germany's gross domestic product (GDP) declined by 0.3 per cent from January to March. This follows a drop of 0.5 per cent in Europe's biggest economy during the last quarter of 2022.

  • Why an SVB-type crisis is unlikely in India May 26, 2023 01:10 PM IST

    Why an SVB-type crisis is unlikely in India

    Traditional banking, the play of forbearance, funding and cash flow characteristics, all combine to make Indian banks less vulnerable than their US counterparts

  • Weekly Tactical Pick: Time to look at this diversified aromatic chemical company? May 26, 2023 09:50 AM IST

    Weekly Tactical Pick: Time to look at this diversified aromatic chemical company?

    The impact of high-cost inventory is waning and the medium-term growth pro-spects are bright

  • UK economy to avoid recession but inflation still a worry, says IMF May 23, 2023 05:46 PM IST

    UK economy to avoid recession but inflation still a worry, says IMF

    In its latest assessment of the U.K. economy, the Washington-based fund said domestic demand had proven more resilient than anticipated in the face of the surge in energy costs.

  • The recurring farce of a US debt default May 18, 2023 08:18 AM IST

    The recurring farce of a US debt default

    Wrangling about the debt ceiling is political grandstanding. While everyone expects a last minute settlement, it's worth remembering that a similar impasse in 2011 resulted in a ratings downgrade for the US and nervousness in the markets 

  • Wall Street rallies on debt ceiling optimism, regional bank rise May 18, 2023 07:14 AM IST

    Wall Street rallies on debt ceiling optimism, regional bank rise

    If an agreement is not reached by June 1, the US Treasury has said it could begin to run out of funds to pay the government's bills, potentially igniting a recession.

  • MSCI rejig, Asian Paints, Eicher Motors & more | Market Minutes May 12, 2023 08:26 AM IST

    MSCI rejig, Asian Paints, Eicher Motors & more | Market Minutes

    In this episode of Market Minutes, Shailaja Mohapatra talks about Bank of England's interest rate hike, vanishing recession in the UK, the biggest gainers and losers of MSCI rejig, and Q4 numbers of Asian Paints and Eicher Motors. Also, catch Sachin Jasuja of Centricity Wealthtech in Voice of the Day segment. Market Minutes is a morning podcast that puts the spotlight on hot stocks, keys data points and developing trends.

  • Fed slashing interest rates this summer would be a mistake: David Rubenstein May 11, 2023 02:00 PM IST

    Fed slashing interest rates this summer would be a mistake: David Rubenstein

    The Fed is targeting 2 percent inflation, and there’s no way it would get to 2 percent this summer, the co-founder and co-chairman of Carlyle Group has said

  • What central banks need to consider when making monetary policy in times of war and crisis May 10, 2023 01:02 PM IST

    What central banks need to consider when making monetary policy in times of war and crisis

    The central banks' lack of understanding about the non-monetary components of inflation in times of war and crisis, driven by disruptions in supply chains is reflected in its policy to tackle inflation through a series of interest rate hikes

  • Stan Druckenmiller says US on brink of a recession, sees hard landing May 10, 2023 06:18 AM IST

    Stan Druckenmiller says US on brink of a recession, sees hard landing

    The downturn will occur at some point during the current quarter — even earlier than he previously expected, the billionaire founder of Duquesne Family Office said Tuesday during the 2023 Sohn Investment Conference.

  • The smart way to buy bullion for maximum returns May 09, 2023 08:24 AM IST

    The smart way to buy bullion for maximum returns

    Don’t shy away from buying physical gold due to fears of getting cheated or high bid/offer spreads. A visit to your local Zaveri Bazaar can be a profitable endeavour or if nothing else, then an educative one

  • Oil climbs almost 3% as recession fears begin to fade May 08, 2023 05:42 PM IST

    Oil climbs almost 3% as recession fears begin to fade

    Brent crude was up $1.83, or 2.4%, at $77.13 a barrel by 1200 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained $2.06, or 2.9%, to $73.40.

  • German industrial output slumps, recession fears rise May 08, 2023 02:17 PM IST

    German industrial output slumps, recession fears rise

    Production decreased by 3.4% on the previous month following a slightly revised increase of 2.1% in February, the federal statistical office said on Monday. In a Reuters poll, analysts had pointed to a 1.3% fall.

  • 25 years of LTCM collapse: No lessons learnt as US bank crises show May 05, 2023 03:13 PM IST

    25 years of LTCM collapse: No lessons learnt as US bank crises show

    Even though LTCM failed 25 years ago, its ghost continues to linger and haunt financial policy. The lesson from LTCM's failure was that financial entities of all types and sizes could pose systemic risks

  • JPMorgan sees investors moving to Gold, tech amid recession risk May 05, 2023 11:13 AM IST

    JPMorgan sees investors moving to Gold, tech amid recession risk

    The trade defined as “long duration” is expressed by being overweight on gold, growth stocks such as technology companies and currencies (short USD), strategists including Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou and Mika Inkinen wrote in a note, adding the bet is far from crowded in rates due to the highly inverted yield curve.

  • The ECB finally switches off autopilot rate mode May 05, 2023 10:09 AM IST

    The ECB finally switches off autopilot rate mode

    Flatlining growth, slowing bank lending, inflation moderating and global banking wobbles all contributed to the ECB's decision to dial down the volume on monetary tightening.

  • Looming US recession darkens outlook for global equity, brightens for fixed income May 04, 2023 06:07 PM IST

    Looming US recession darkens outlook for global equity, brightens for fixed income

    Synchronised and aggressive rate hikes thus far make a case for deeper problems in the real economy, going ahead. Interest rate matters and there is a tremendous value in the yield curve which points to a strong probability of recession in the next 12 months

  • Economic slowdown looms on Nifty earnings: BofA maintains the target at 18,000 May 05, 2023 06:52 AM IST

    Economic slowdown looms on Nifty earnings: BofA maintains the target at 18,000

    The brokerage said IT remained at its top underweight. BofA also said it remained underweight on staples, discretionary and telecom sectors. It continues to favor financial, industrials, cement, steel and select auto (two wheelers), utilities and healthcare as defensive plays. BofA remained normal weight on the energy sector

  • Fed policy: Is the end in sight for the rate hike cycle? May 04, 2023 09:11 AM IST

    Fed policy: Is the end in sight for the rate hike cycle?

    This could be an appropriate time to start portfolio construction as Fed commentary suggests that some of the financial stability concerns are abating

  • Recession odds are ‘pretty darn high’ right now, Jeffrey Gundlach says May 04, 2023 07:15 AM IST

    Recession odds are ‘pretty darn high’ right now, Jeffrey Gundlach says

    “Recessionary odds are pretty darn high right now,” Gundlach said in an interview on CNBC on Wednesday after the Fed’s decision to boost its benchmark rate by a quarter-point and hint at a pause in its tightening cycle.