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  • Hindalco bets on demand for aluminium cans if US consumption trend changes amid recession fears

    Hindalco bets on demand for aluminium cans if US consumption trend changes amid recession fears

    Novelis derives about 60 percent of its product mix from beverage packaging, with the remainder spread across automotive, aerospace, and electronics sectors.

  • Goldman boosts recession risk, brings forward Fed rate-cut call

    Goldman boosts recession risk, brings forward Fed rate-cut call

    Economists led by Jan Hatzius lowered their 2025 Q4-to-Q4 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% from 1% and raised the 12-month recession probability to 45%

  • Trade War: How should investors position for the likely Fed pivot?

    Trade War: How should investors position for the likely Fed pivot?

    Investors need to be wary of heavily tariffed countries (relative to India) as they increase the risk of dumping

  • Reciprocal Tariffs: How will India’s markets navigate the storm?

    Reciprocal Tariffs: How will India’s markets navigate the storm?

    Trump’s steep tariff hikes reshape global trade, with India finding both challenges and unexpected opportunities

  • Is US heading towards recession? Amid new trade war, key indicators flash warning signs

    Is US heading towards recession? Amid new trade war, key indicators flash warning signs

    Much like rest of the world, Americans are also concerned about the impact of tariffs. The Wall Street journal reports said tariff was the main talking point in nearly 700 earning calls.

  • As the Middle East explodes, how should investors position themselves?

    As the Middle East explodes, how should investors position themselves?

    Valuation makes the Indian market vulnerable to a military escalation. The gap between Nifty earnings yield and the 10-year G-Sec yield is closer to the average during historical market peaks

  • Risk of eventual correction in global stock markets may have spillover effects: FinMin

    Risk of eventual correction in global stock markets may have spillover effects: FinMin

    Urban consumption shows some signs of weakness, evident in the decline in automobile sales in the first five months of FY25 YoY, says FinMin's August economic review

  • Have central banks pulled off a soft landing, or are they just plain lucky?

    Have central banks pulled off a soft landing, or are they just plain lucky?

    Many factors, apart from central bank actions, are responsible for the soft landing

  • Cooling US jobs market looms over central bankers at Jackson Hole

    Cooling US jobs market looms over central bankers at Jackson Hole

    The Federal Reserve has brought down inflation but must now steer the economy away from recession

  • S&P 500 will attempt to keep going for a ninth session, its longest streak since November 2004

    S&P 500 will attempt to keep going for a ninth session, its longest streak since November 2004

    The MSCI All Country World Index (MSCI ACWI) too will attempt a ninth day of rise — its longest gaining streak since December, data from Bloomberg showed.

  • Expecting an uptick in US growth rate in 2025, says Jahangir Aziz of JPMorgan

    Expecting an uptick in US growth rate in 2025, says Jahangir Aziz of JPMorgan

    On rising concerns over the possibility of a recession in the world’s largest economy, Aziz says that he is looking at an uptick in the growth rate in the US in 2025.

  • Simple indicators of whether the US is in recession are flawed

    Simple indicators of whether the US is in recession are flawed

    Investors are going to have to live with some uncertainty

  • My recession rule was meant to be broken

    My recession rule was meant to be broken

    The Sahm rule indicates that the US is in the midst of a downturn, but it’s not quite there yet

  • JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon still sees risk of recession, 'skeptical' of 2% CPI target

    JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon still sees risk of recession, 'skeptical' of 2% CPI target

    Jamie Dimon said the US Fed will will likely cut rates soon. “I don’t think it matters as much as other people think,” he added.

  • RBI will be watchful of incoming data, premature to talk about US recession, says Das

    RBI will be watchful of incoming data, premature to talk about US recession, says Das

    Lower-than–expected job growth in July have fanned fears of the US slipping into a recession, which spooked markets as well

  • Japan interest rate hike, US recession fears may make offshore borrowing difficult for Indian corporates

    Japan interest rate hike, US recession fears may make offshore borrowing difficult for Indian corporates

    Domestic companies had just begun tapping the offshore debt market this year, following very little activity in the last two years on account of the US Fed raising interest rates in the wake of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and global inflation. The new developments could prove a dampener.

  • US recession fears should be much milder this time

    US recession fears should be much milder this time

    The economy is in much better condition now than it was a decade and a half ago, so a downturn is less scary

  • 'Wait and watch' not 'buy on dip' advice experts amid global uncertainty

    'Wait and watch' not 'buy on dip' advice experts amid global uncertainty

    Indian markets plunge nearly 4% amid US recession fears and Middle East tensions, prompting experts to advise investors to adopt a cautious wait-and-watch approach rather than buying the dip.

  • Can Fed’s dovish pause re-fuel global equities?

    Can Fed’s dovish pause re-fuel global equities?

    A cut in policy rates still depends on the trend in inflation, but a hike on the face of recent macro weakness is unlikely

  • World Street | Boeing's woes mount, Jamie Dimon warns of high rates, Tesla settles lawsuit and more

    World Street | Boeing's woes mount, Jamie Dimon warns of high rates, Tesla settles lawsuit and more

    From Boeing facing FAA scrutiny, Tesla settling Autopilot-linked fatal crash lawsuit to Intel and Google unveiling new chips and Binance's rebirth, here's a look at recent business developments around the world

  • US: Applying Sahm recession rule to individual states is a mistake

    US: Applying Sahm recession rule to individual states is a mistake

    Applying the logic of the rule to individual states would reveal that 20 of them should be in a recession, right? Instead rising unemployment rates in places such as California, New York and New Jersey actually reflect economic strength

  • Fed policy: What should Indian investors do as US soft landing plays out?

    Fed policy: What should Indian investors do as US soft landing plays out?

    The FOMC is expecting a longer road ahead in the fight against inflation

  • Growth prospects brighten, but fear of rise in inflation returns: S&P Global Market Intelligence

    Growth prospects brighten, but fear of rise in inflation returns: S&P Global Market Intelligence

    Concerns over global growth have escalated with two of the world’s largest economies in technical recessions. Japan and the UK both reported their second consecutive negative quarters of GDP last week. However, some of these worries have allayed with US posting robust growth figures due to a rise in consumer spending.

  • Explained: What is a recession and should India be concerned?

    Explained: What is a recession and should India be concerned?

    UK and Japan slipped into recession at the end of 2023. But what exactly is a recession and is it any different from what it is commonly thought to be?

  • UK Recession: Stagnating economy is crying out for rate cuts 

    UK Recession: Stagnating economy is crying out for rate cuts 

    The message from this week’s economic data is pretty gloomy. GDP shrank by 0.3% in the final three months of last year, after a 0.1% contraction in the previous quarter. For all of 2023, the economy grew just 0.1%; more worrying is 1% compression in the private sector in the final nine months of last year

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