The founder of Marcellus reflects on how his investing approach has shifted over the past three years, after his early conviction in staying invested in high-priced, high-quality stocks came under pressure
Buy-at-any-price strategy backfires; Marcellus' flagship delivers 9.07% over the past five-year period compared with the Nifty 50’s return of 15.96%. The Little Champs portfolio delivers 8.12% return compared with 17.93% for the benchmark BSE 200 index.
The founder and chief investment officer at Marcellus Investment Managers was talking to Moneycontrol as part of Samvat 2081 conversations; he forecasts a multi-quarter slowdown in earnings growth
Marcellus is invested in Zomato through Info Edge, which has a substantial stake in the food delivery and restaurant aggregator company.
What Mukherjea found more encouraging, from a long-term investor perspective, is the government saying that not only will it stoke consumption and try to juice up consumption but it will do so without compromising on fiscal rectitude.
Since inception in December 2018, the Consistent Compunders has given returns of 15.35 percent while its benchmark has given slightly higher returns of 15.76 percent in the same period
According to the latest data provided by PMS AIF WORLD, Marcellus' Little Champs had a 4 percent stake in V-Mart Retail.
The PMS firm has said that it has appointed one of the "big four" companies to investigate the issue
GMM’s acquisition of Pfaudler gives it access to the latter’s technology and innovation capabilities, and also enables the group to optimise manufacturing between GMM’s India factories and Pfaudler’s global facilities.
Marcellus founder Saurabh Mukherjea is bullish on investing in Indian equities as GDP growth remains strong despite rate hikes. He likes the financials, pharma and electronic manufacturing sectors that are set to benefit from the China plus one strategy and lowering of interest rates in the near future.
Krishnan also believes that considering that inflation is under control and that the current government and its policies are expected to continue post next year’s general elections, the markets are not over-priced.
Currently, three major global industries where China+1 shift is most evident, are estimated at around $1 trillion.
The portfolio management services (PMS) provider said it has been adding the stock in its portfolio for the last few months.
Marcellus Investment Managers has doubled its position in Divis Labs, which now constitutes approximately 7-8 percent of its portfolio.
Saurab Mukherjea talks about top sectoral bets and market outlook. What all investors need to realize is that good companies always give conservative guidance. Whereas bad companies give aggressive guidance on results and then disappoint later on.
Says, foreign investors will rush to invest in Indian equities in large numbers in the coming years.
Mukherjea feels that the Indian economy is recovering nicely and the cost of credit in India continues to remain very low. Though the global economic conditions were a little choppy six months ago, but they're becoming fairly benign again.
The stock has fallen by 20% from its 52-week high on fears of rising competition and mounting input cost pressures
On being asked over some concerns regarding the weakness in HDFC twins after the merger announcement, Mukherjea said HDFC Bank was an outperformer in the private banking space in the last five years.
Suprajit Engineering’s CMD Ajith Rai tackles the question from various angles
Top line is vanity, the bottom line is sanity, and cash flow is reality. And, that's why I keep telling people to focus on cash flow, not the newspapers headlines and not even profitability, says Mukherjea.
it is a bit futile to make sense of stock price movements in the short term given the number of factors at play. Even if we manage to explain these in hindsight, it has very little predictive power, said Gubbi.
If the cost of capital remains low in India and if the country can continue improving its road, freight and ports infra, we will continue to see the rise of small-cap Indian companies with global monopolies, says Mukherjea
Little Champs portfolio is to identify and invest in 15-20 niche-dominant small cap companies with clean accounts & corporate governance, track record of prudent capital allocation, and at the same time decent growth potential.
It is very difficult to time entry exits particularly in high-quality stocks based on your view around a macro event’s impact on the broader economy.