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  • 2008 vs 2023: On course for a crash or a controlled bubble bursting?

    Regulators and governments have staved off a wider contagion. However, systemic fragility is very much evident

  • Credit Suisse and its many scandals that led to the emergency takeover by UBS

    Credit Suisse and its many scandals that led to the emergency takeover by UBS

    Credit Suisse crisis 2023: A hasty, overnight takeover of Credit Suisse by rival UBS after the bank found Swiss regulators at its doorstep is just the coup de grace.

  • SVB crisis stirs up memories of 2008 – What should investors do?

    SVB crisis stirs up memories of 2008 – What should investors do?

    Regulators have stepped up to the plate quite promptly this time around. This is expected to hopefully arrest the situation before it snowballs into something bigger and scarier 

  • Why investors shouldn't get carried away by the recent market recovery

    Why investors shouldn't get carried away by the recent market recovery

    A close watch is warranted on the foreign flows, both portfolio and capital account. In the first nine months of the calendar year 2022, RBI has drained over $100 billion from the forex reserves.

  • Tech IPO market faces worst year since global financial crisis

    Tech IPO market faces worst year since global financial crisis

    According to Refinitiv data, only 14 tech companies have floated their shares on stock exchanges so far this year, compared with 12 in 2009. The IPOs this year have raised $507 million, the lowest amount that has been raised through flotations since 2000.

  • Fourteen Years Later: Forgotten lessons from Lehman Brothers and the GFC 

    Fourteen Years Later: Forgotten lessons from Lehman Brothers and the GFC 

    Policy makers must heed the lessons from their failure to bail out Lehman Brothers in 2008 and be mindful of the risks of too much monetary tightening

  • Nifty on recovery path or in a 'bull trap'? Analysts advise caution as COVID-19 cases rise

    Nifty on recovery path or in a 'bull trap'? Analysts advise caution as COVID-19 cases rise

    During the Global financial crisis, Nifty saw three intermittent bull traps before finally bottoming out in March 2009

  • 3-Point Analysis | Economic stimulus: What’s in it for markets and investors?

    3-Point Analysis | Economic stimulus: What’s in it for markets and investors?

    A Rs 20 lakh crore economic package did lift sentiment, but as the five-part plan was unveiled it fell woefully short on substance.

  • Cut losses in sectors that could lose relevance in post-COVID-19 world: Axis Securities

    Cut losses in sectors that could lose relevance in post-COVID-19 world: Axis Securities

    Equity investors have to be always prepared for a volatile ride, given the nature of the investment vehicle they have chosen.

  • PMI shows Indian manufacturing sector shrank at record pace in April

    PMI shows Indian manufacturing sector shrank at record pace in April

    The reduction in employment was the quickest in the survey’s history

  • Fed meeting points to dollar weakness. How much will the Indian rupee benefit?

    Fed meeting points to dollar weakness. How much will the Indian rupee benefit?

    On balance, we are looking at a gradual depreciation of the Indian currency. COVID-19 will be the difference between the rupee at 76 to a dollar or 85 in another six months.

  • China’s M&A diplomacy: Endgame or endless game?

    China’s M&A diplomacy: Endgame or endless game?

    Chinese companies have been trying to influence not only the production chains but also the value and supply chains to stand out in the global market, and be at the top of the food chain

  • In the post-COVID-19 world, subcontractors could be more in demand

    In the post-COVID-19 world, subcontractors could be more in demand

    Subcontractors could account for as high as 15 percent depending on the company's business model.

  • Liquidity line to MFs: RBI’s all-too-familiar method of directed lending may not work

    Liquidity line to MFs: RBI’s all-too-familiar method of directed lending may not work

    Who will bear the credit risk?

  • How to prepare for a W-shaped economic recovery and beyond

    How to prepare for a W-shaped economic recovery and beyond

    We need nuanced policy making to straighten the W over time

  • Should India worry about its fiscal deficit increasing when its economy is staring into the abyss?

    Should India worry about its fiscal deficit increasing when its economy is staring into the abyss?

    Moody’s says policy space is constrained for countries with existing fiscal challenges

  • The one chart that shows why stocks rebounded

    The one chart that shows why stocks rebounded

    The correlation between central bank assets and stock prices is back on track

  • Bank of America global fund manager survey for April shows peak pessimism, indicating a bounce

    Bank of America global fund manager survey for April shows peak pessimism, indicating a bounce

    Allocation to emerging markets has room to fall further

  • Chart of the day | WTO says trade slump this year will be worse than during global financial crisis

    Chart of the day | WTO says trade slump this year will be worse than during global financial crisis

    Services trade may be the component of world trade most directly affected by COVID-19 through the imposition of transport and travel restrictions

  • RBI industrial survey shows conditions worse than during global financial crisis even before lockdown

    RBI industrial survey shows conditions worse than during global financial crisis even before lockdown

    Capacity utilisation in December 2019 quarter lower than during global financial crisis

  • Is the current economic meltdown worse than the global financial crisis?

    Is the current economic meltdown worse than the global financial crisis?

    This time, everything is happening at warp speed, reflecting the breakneck pace at which the virus is spreading

  • World Bank trims 2020 growth forecast amid slow recovery for trade, investment

    World Bank trims 2020 growth forecast amid slow recovery for trade, investment

    The multilateral development bank said 2019 marked the weakest economic expansion since the global financial crisis a decade ago, and 2020, while a slight improvement, remained vulnerable to uncertainties over trade and geopolitical tensions.

  • What’s different about the fiscal deficit this year

    What’s different about the fiscal deficit this year

    Gross tax collections till November this fiscal year have gone up by a mere 0.8 percent, the lowest since 2009-10

  • Policy | GDP at 4.5 per cent, time for FM to go for broke

    Policy | GDP at 4.5 per cent, time for FM to go for broke

    India cannot possibly be in a situation where the highest effective individual tax rate at 43 per cent is nearly double the highest corporate income tax rate. This peculiar fiscal architecture needs immediate fixing.

  • Recession fears intensify! India could ride through the storm amid global headwinds

    Recession fears intensify! India could ride through the storm amid global headwinds

    In a new Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey for September, 38 percent of the participants think a recession is likely in the next 12 months, while 59 percent think it is unlikely.

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