He isn't impressed by defensive bets, FMCG, or IT either. While he doesn't see any catalyst to move the needle for the former, he feels the high interest rates in the US could impact the recovery of IT companies.
Also, premiumisation in both alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverage industries, and the electronics manufacturing sector are key areas to watch for potential growth.
Capital gains tax, Chinese stimulus could change the narrative for Indian equities. He says the rally in the first quarter of FY25 could be led by banks, IT and metals.
Holland is confident about the Indian markets and said that we will witness earnings upgrades in the future, and these are more likely to come from large-cap companies
The CEO of Avendus Capital Public Markets Alternate Strategies says shares of defence companies are going up more on order wins rather than on execution. The beverage sector, both alcohol and non-alcoholic, is another sector he is bullish on
In terms of financials and growth in India, Holland said there will be a few downgrades, likely in metals, banking and IT, before there are upgrades.
Andrew Holland believes that the markets have taken the more negative side of arguments towards new-age tech stocks, which could become the big companies of the future
Market expert Andrew Holland is wary of small-cap stocks despite their recent rally. He emphasized the need for careful stock selection and questioned the transition possibility of small and mid-cap companies into large caps.
Andrew Holland is also bullish on beverages, services and electronics sectors. Global interest and rising capital expenditure will offer lasting growth opportunities, he tells Moneycontrol
Investors are watching the current economic crisis in China for “impact on global growth” and the resultant market sentiment, Holland said.
Holland believes that in the second half of FY24, earnings could be upgraded.
Talking about investment opportunities and challenges in Indian equities, market expert Andrew Holland said he is cautious on IT but bullish on the life insurance and manufacturing industry. Investors should analyse market conditions and align any decisions with their goals and risk tolerance, he emphasised.
Holland believes earnings upgrades are likely to begin in the second half of the next fiscal and capital expenditure may also start picking up pace which could drive inflows to India.
Talking about India, Holland mentioned that the upcoming Budget for 2023-24 will also provide cues for the stock market
In an exclusive interview with N Mahalakshmi, Andrew Holland, CEO of Avendus Capital, shares why protecting capital is an asset and how he sees the new capex cycle taking shape
Domestic fund inflows may fall by a lesser degree when compared to global markets but will fall by 5%
Holland expects markets to remain volatile between now and May/June, and believes markets are reasonably priced from a 3-year perspective
On global markets, Andrew Holland said that US President-elect Joe Biden’s reconciliatory gestures towards China will give a boost to global GDP.
The auto industry in the country has been severely affected due to the economic downturn. However, Holland feels that there are signs of encouragement for the automakers.
"The companies I speak to are all saying that things are turning down very quickly. To reverse that will take a lot of effort and I don't think the Budget helped do any of that," Holland said.
With regards to financials, he said he still likes private banks.
Andrew Holland said the research house will be looking at quality NBFCs though
Overall, the market will move in-line with earnings and for 2018-19 the earnings are expected to be around 15 percent, Andrew Holland, CEO, Avendus Capital Alternate Strategies.
Andrew Holland is negative on stocks in IT sector which have reported very poor number. It has already faced pain for the past 1.5 years.
According to Andrew Holland, CEO at Avendus Capital, one may prefer private banking stocks.