R Venkataraman of IIFL Capital feels that deceleration in earnings growth will be a continuing trend at least for the second quarter of FY26 before things show signs of troughing out.
While the longer term prospects of the domestic facing economy are well supported, it would be prudent to be prepared for some volatility in the near term, after Trump tariffs, said Sandeep Bagla of TRUST Mutual Fund.
In the remaining part of FY26, the focus remains on domestic-facing sectors, where visibility is better and demand is steadier, said Krishna Appala of Capitalmind PMS.
Chart formation signals a lack of conviction among bulls and a clear dominance of bears at higher levels, said Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities.
Niraj Kumar of Generali Central Life Insurance says while there is no immediate domestic catalyst for a sharp correction for India, he believes it is prudent to remain cautious but constructive.
While Trump has mentioned that he may impose tariffs on pharma and electronic goods sectors, Himanshu Kohli expects that these two sectors may still continue to remain out of the ambit of tariff to maintain supply chain stability and healthcare needs.
Given Trump's tariff threats, it’s clear that the US is pressuring India over crude/defense purchases from Russia, but the Indian government remains firm on prioritizing national interest, said Swati Khemani of Carnelian.
On the recent 25% US tariff on India, Raghvendra Nath of Ladderup said if these tariffs were to stick, it may have an impact on the Indo-US diplomatic ties that have improved significantly over the last decade or so.
The earnings outlook for Q2FY26 looks relatively better, driven by margin tailwinds from stable input costs and volume pick-up in urban discretionary and capital-intensive sectors, said Sonam Srivastava of Wright Research PMS.
While immediate easing is uncertain, India’s strategic posture, emphasizing national interest, the UK FTA, and broader global engagement, could strengthen its negotiating position and open the door to phased tariff relief, said JM Financial’s Ashish Chaturmohta
Post the meeting between the Indian and US delegations later this month, the tariffs may be paused or reduced temporarily, said Puneet Sharma of Whitespace Alpha.
Bank Nifty has now moved below several important moving averages, and recent chart patterns look a bit bearish, but the buy on dips should be the outlook for August, said Rahul Ghose.
Earnings upgrades across various industries and market cap companies would become the next major trigger for the markets, said Quest Investment’s Aniruddha Sarkar.
The 24,400–24,350 zone is expected to act as an immediate support for Nifty. A sustained break below this could further accelerate the downside. On the flip side, the 50-day EMA zone of 24,900–24,950 now stands as a crucial hurdle, and any meaningful recovery would need to clear this zone with conviction, said Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities.
Divam Sharma of Green Portfolio is now closely watching the IT companies pack and believes there would be leaders emerging with the adoption of AI.
After the 25 percent US tariff, in aggregate, LGT’s Stefan Hofer doesn’t expect material downside to India’s economic growth, albeit some sectors may be more impacted than others.
Going ahead, investors might start to stabilize or recover moderately as they adjust to the new situation and look for progress in trade talks, said Waterfield's Vipul Bhowar.
The lack of clarity on the India–US trade agreement and fears of potential tariff imposition under a possible second Trump presidency have heightened concerns for export-dependent sectors like chemicals, metals, and pharma, said Anil Rego of Right Horizons.
The earnings profile of the midcap companies has been better in the recent past. And Alok Singh of Bank of India MF expects that trend to continue and the midcaps to outperform the large caps in this current fiscal year.
Trend wise, with a long to medium-term horizon, the market is in a strong uptrend but with the last three weeks' price action, the short-term trend has slightly tilted downwards, said Sameet Chavan of Angel One.
Kotak's Pratik Gupta believes the Nifty earnings growth for FY26 could be 12% but is unlikely to reach 15%.
Urban consumption should gradually recover with rural consumption improving further (on account of timely monsoons and a robust kharif sowing season). Thus, earnings could witness a revival from September quarter onwards, said Poonam Tandon of IndiaFirst Life.
The 100-day EMA zone of 24,600-24,550 will act as immediate support for the Nifty 50. Any sustainable move below the level of 24,550 will lead to further correction upto the 24,200 level. However, on the upside, the 20-day EMA zone of 25,100-25,150 will be the crucial hurdle for the index, said Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities.
US tariffs has been a major overhang on the global trade as well as the financial markets since the start of 2025. However, the frequent postponement of the tariff deadlines has allowed markets time to digest their likely impact, said JM Financial’s Ankur Jhaveri.
Invasset PMS' Anirudh Garg believes cement companies are likely to see strong earnings growth in H2 FY26, driven by a stable volume trajectory and infrastructure growth.