Delhi Election 2025: Can BJP rock AAP's boat? Check latest Phalodi Satta Bazar prediction

Phalodi Satta Bazar prediction for Delhi elections shows a tough road to victory for the ruling AAP. (File Photo: PTI)

Phalodi Satta Bazar prediction, Delhi Election 2025: The Aam Aadmi Party led by Arvind Kejriwal appears to be locked in a tough contest with the Opposition Bharatiya Janata Party as it makes a bid for a third straight term in power in the national capital.

Assembly elections in Delhi are scheduled to be held on February 5 while the results will be declared on February 8. In the absence of opinion polls and surveys, people have found it difficult to gauge the mood of the electorate ahead of polls and are turning to the projections of Rajasthan's Phalodi Satta Bazar for some indications.

Phalodi Satta Bazar prediction for Delhi Election

As per the latest estimates made available by the Phalodi Satta Bazar, the Aam Aadmi Party continues to be the favourite at the moment despite a sharp fall in its tally as compared to 2020 and 2015.

As per the latest estimates of the Phalodi Satta Bazar, the AAP is projected to win 38 to 40 seats in the Delhi elections. Earlier, the market had estimated 37 to 39 seats for AAP. With the latest revision, AAP appears to have gained an additional seat as of Thursday, less than a week ahead of polling date.

Phalodi Satta Bazar prediction for BJP, Congress

The Phalodi Satta Bazar is giving out no projections for the Congress, suggesting that the chances of the Congress making a mark in the Delhi elections look bleak. The market had earlier projected 0-1 seat for the Congress. The party currently holds zero seats in the Delhi Assembly.

The BJP, on the other hand, remains in strong contention to take the pole position in Delhi after a negligible outing in the previous two elections. As per the latest Phalodi Satta Bazar projections, the BJP is estimated to win 30-32 seats in the elections. The Satta bazar had earlier projected 31-33 seats for the saffron party.

Phalodi Satta Bazar predictions for Delhi's VIP seats

New Delhi - Arvind Kejriwal (AAP) vs Parvesh Verma (BJP) vs Sandeep Dikshit (INC)
AAP's national convener Arvind Kejriwal is ahead as per the estimates of the betting market. The going rate as of Thursday was 66-85 in favour of Kejriwal.

Kalkaji - Atishi (AAP) vs Ramesh Bidhuri (BJP) vs Alka Lamba (INC)
In this hot seat too, AAP candidate and Delhi CM Atishi is in the lead with odds stacked in favour of Atishi at 25-33.

Jangpura - Manish Sisodia (AAP) vs Tarvinder S Marwah (BJP) vs Farhad Suri (INC)
Former Deputy CM and AAP candidate Manish Sisodia is tipped to be in the lead as per Phalodi Satta Bazar projections. The odds are stacked 55-70 in his favour as of Thursday.

Delhi Election 2025 Schedule

Notification Date: January 10, 2025
Last Date for Nomination: January 17, 2025
Scrutiny of Nominations: January 18, 2025
Withdrawal of Candidature: January 20, 2025
Polling Date: February 5, 2025
Counting Date: February 8, 2025

Phalodi Satta Bazar's Speculative Range

AAP: 38-40 seats
BJP: 31-33 seats
Congress: 0-1 seat

While the Phalodi Satta Bazar projects a likely victory for AAP, the projected decrease in its seat count could be indicative of mounting challenges for the ruling party. The BJP, on the other hand, appears to be closing the gap but still faces an uphill task to reclaim power while Congress continues its battle to regain a foothold in the capital it once dominated.

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