Prabhudas Lilladher's research report on Aurobindo Pharma
We believe regulatory issues are likely to abate in FY21E as CAPA (Corrective and Preventive Actions) have been completed for Unit-I, IX, VII, and XI and ARBP is in continuous discussion with FDA for virtual cGMP audit. We believe successful resolution will lead ARBP to launch 50-60 quality products in FY21E with better realization due to favorable forex. ARBP had received only 22 ANDAs approval in FY20 versus 49 in FY19 and 51 in FY18. The lower approval was on the back of regulatory issues in its two key plants (Unit-IV and VII).
Outlook
With a high probability of complete resolution for its key plants in FY21E, we improve PE to 13x (11X earlier) of FY22E and increase TP to Rs838 (earlier Rs702). We maintain 'Accumulate'.
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