Moneycontrol PRO
HomeNewsBusinessMarketsNALCO stock hits record high after Kotak Institutional Equities' upgrade to 'add'

NALCO stock hits record high after Kotak Institutional Equities' upgrade to 'add'

Kotak believes that NALCO is well-positioned to capitalise on the current supply tightness in the alumina market, primarily due to its net long position, which provides a favorable boost to aluminum prices.

October 01, 2024 / 13:19 IST
NALCO stock is up over 65 percent in the year so far.
     
     
    26 Aug, 2025 12:21
    Volume
    Todays L/H
    More

    Shares of National Aluminium Co surged 4 percent to hit a record high of Rs 218.72 on October 1 after brokerage firm Kotak Institutional Equities upgraded its rating on the stock to 'add', citing an  attractive risk-reward.

    Alongside the rating upgrade, KIE also raised its price target for the stock by a whopping 58 percent to Rs 235, predicting a 12 percent upside potential from the current level. At 11.30 am, shares of NALCO were trading at Rs 216 on the NSE.

    According to KIE, NALCO is best placed to benefit from the ongoing supply tightness in the alumina market, largely due to its net long position and the consequent tailwind in the aluminum prices.

    Follow our market blog to catch all the live action

    While the brokerage anticipates that increased production in China, fueled by restarts in Yunnan and weak global demand, will help alleviate the current aluminum deficit in the near term, they project that the market will remain structurally in deficit in the medium term.

    Kotak's outlook is based on the expectation that, as China's production approaches its capacity limit of 45.5 mtpa—currently operating at a utilisation rate of 95 percent—steady demand growth driven by the energy transition will persist. To facilitate expansions in the medium term, the market will require incentive pricing beyond the current cost pressures, which is likely to work out in favor of NALCO.

    On top of that, the commissioning of captive coal mines has helped reduce costs for NALCO in FY24, and a further ramp-up should keep costs on a downtrend, KIE believes.

    Factoring in these growth triggers, KIE raised its EBITDA forecasts for NALCO by 8 percent for FY25, 11 percent for FY26, and 17 percent for FY27, primarily driven by changes in commodity price assumptions. Additionally, the firm now assigns a higher multiple of 7 times EV/EBITDA for NALCO, up from the previous 5.5 times, as the company enters a volume growth phase starting in FY27.

    Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

    Moneycontrol News
    first published: Oct 1, 2024 11:51 am

    Discover the latest Business News, Sensex, and Nifty updates. Obtain Personal Finance insights, tax queries, and expert opinions on Moneycontrol or download the Moneycontrol App to stay updated!

    Subscribe to Tech Newsletters

    • On Saturdays

      Find the best of Al News in one place, specially curated for you every weekend.

    • Daily-Weekdays

      Stay on top of the latest tech trends and biggest startup news.

    Advisory Alert: It has come to our attention that certain individuals are representing themselves as affiliates of Moneycontrol and soliciting funds on the false promise of assured returns on their investments. We wish to reiterate that Moneycontrol does not solicit funds from investors and neither does it promise any assured returns. In case you are approached by anyone making such claims, please write to us at grievanceofficer@nw18.com or call on 02268882347