Why Trump is accusing Obama of treason over Russia: Inside the intelligence fight over 2016 election meddling

Why Trump is accusing Obama of treason over Russia

In a dramatic turn of events, President Trump and his administration have begun releasing a series of reports aimed at challenging the long-standing conclusion by US intelligence agencies that Russia interfered in the 2016 presidential election to benefit his candidacy. Trump has gone as far as accusing former President Barack Obama of treason, claiming the intelligence process was manipulated to delegitimize his victory. His team, including key figures like C.I.A. Director John Ratcliffe and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, has also made criminal referrals against former Obama-era officials like John Brennan, the New York Times reported.

What the 2017 intelligence assessment actually said

The US intelligence community’s assessment, released in January 2017, concluded that Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered an extensive operation to interfere with the US election. The goals were threefold: to undermine faith in democracy, to damage Hillary Clinton’s campaign, and to help Donald Trump win. While the first two claims have faced little pushback, the third — that Russia supported Trump — has long rankled the former president and his allies.

Controversies over the Steele dossier and intelligence sources

Trump’s critics have focused on the use of the now-discredited Steele dossier, a collection of opposition research funded by Democrats. Although the dossier was not used as the foundation for the assessment, a summary of it was included in an annex — a move that C.I.A. analysts initially resisted. In recently released materials, John Brennan is shown defending the inclusion of the annex despite internal objections. Trump’s allies now argue that the dossier tainted the intelligence findings, pointing to references to it within the classified version of the report.

New details emerge, but the core assessment holds

Declassified documents reveal that some intelligence initially withheld over credibility concerns was later included following Obama’s directive to use all available information. Among them were reports from a US mole in the Kremlin suggesting that Putin was “counting on” Trump to win — although analysts disputed the exact meaning. A review led by Trump’s intelligence appointees concluded that while the judgment of Russia favouring Trump may have been overstated in confidence level, the logic behind it was plausible and backed by available evidence.

Contradictions from within Trump’s own party

Not all Republicans agree with Trump’s version of events. A 2020 report by the GOP-led Senate Intelligence Committee, chaired at the time by Marco Rubio (now Trump’s secretary of state), concluded that Russia indeed aimed to help Trump win. The committee found that Russian social media activity was “overtly and almost invariably supportive” of Trump. Even John Durham, the special counsel appointed by Trump to investigate misconduct, did not fault the intelligence community’s conclusions about Russia’s motives.

Sensational claims meet a more nuanced reality

Despite the nuanced findings, Trump administration officials have made sweeping claims. John Ratcliffe said the intelligence assessment led to the Mueller probe — a claim that is factually incorrect, as the FBI’s Russia investigation began in mid-2016 and was prompted by an Australian tip, not the dossier. Tulsi Gabbard has claimed a “treasonous conspiracy” took place under Obama and released a timeline of events that conflates cyber intrusions with vote tampering, leading to confusion over the nature of the interference.

The political backdrop and Epstein distraction

Trump’s aggressive stance against Obama and the intelligence community comes at a moment when his supporters are increasingly frustrated over the administration’s failure to release documents related to Jeffrey Epstein. Shortly after Attorney General Pam Bondi informed Trump that his own name appeared in Epstein-related files, Bondi announced a new “strike force” to investigate the intelligence findings from 2016. The timing has raised questions about whether Trump’s renewed focus on Obama is part of a broader effort to shift public attention.

Conclusion: Political warfare over historical judgment

The intelligence fight over the 2016 election has become a central feature of Trump’s second term, merging political grievance with attempts to rewrite the historical record. While new documents offer insight into the rushed and complex process behind the original assessment, they stop short of undermining its fundamental conclusion. What’s changed is not the intelligence — but the political will to weaponize it.