On the downstream front, the Aditya Birla Group company has a target to quadruple EBITDA by FY30 compared to FY24 through the ramp up of new copper tubes plant and an e-waste recycling facility which will be India’s first and the world’s second largest.
Hindalco shares will be in focus after subsidiary Novelis reported a 36 percent drop in Q1 net income and warned of higher US tariff impacts.
Novelis added that it is looking to accelerate cost reduction steps, which can drive higher cost savings in FY26, and over $300 million by end of FY28.
Novelis derives about 60 percent of its product mix from beverage packaging, with the remainder spread across automotive, aerospace, and electronics sectors.
Novelis, its US subsidiary that supplies premium aluminium sheet and foil products to the beverage can, automotive, aerospace and speciality markets, could actually benefit, said MD Satish Pai. The effect on parent Hindalco would be minimal since the US market constitutes a minuscule part of its exports.
Expected tax cuts and import tariffs could create favourable conditions for Birla’s US-based aluminium business Novelis, which has extensive investments in that country
KM Birla confirmed that the recycling and rolling plant in Alabama is on schedule to start from FY26. "It is on time. It will be a high-technology, high-precision rolling mill and first kind facility."
The EBITDA decline was primarily driven by the increase in aluminum scrap prices, unfavorable product mix, and the impact caused by floods at the Sierre plant.
The fall was mainly due to charges associated with the production interruptions at its Sierre plant, higher restructuring and impairment expense and lower operating performance
Demand environment across end-use segments remains a mixed bag
Despite this delay, Hindalco said Novelis will continue to evaluate the timing of the IPO and may proceed with the offering in the future.
The IPO will lead to a cash inflow of Rs 6700-7800 crore that could go up if the issue is oversubscribed. The eventual IPO price and its post-listing trend could play a bigger role in valuations
Novelis is the world’s biggest maker of flat-rolled aluminium products, used in an array of goods, from cars to soda cans. Hindalco purchased Novelis in a multibillion-dollar deal in 2007.
Hindalco is looking to raise $1.2 billion via the IPO of its Atlanta-based unit Novelis, and some reports peg the proposed valuation at about $18 billion.
Novelis US IPO: The deal is arguably the first instance of an Indian conglomerate attempting a listing of its subsidiary in the US market. In 2019, Bharti Airtel's Africa subsidiary had listed on the London Stock Exchange and the Nigerian Stock Exchange.
There are several questions about the public offer to which answers are not forthcoming as of now
Novelis generates 60 percent of EBITDA for Hindalco. It will not receive any proceeds from the sale of shares by its shareholders
Hindalco shares closed flat at Rs 512 on February 20 on a day when the Nifty made a fresh record high.
India Aluminium business will see lower cost on the back of captive alumina and better captive coal linkages
Novelis said its Bay Minette project sees a 65% increase in total capital cost and a one-year delay. Novelis has revised the project cost to $4.1 billion, expecting commissioning by end-CY2026E or 2HFY27E.
Higher earnings from Novelis and stable aluminium prices are likely to aid in earnings recovery
The company's volumes improved by 6% due to the end of destocking, driven by operational efficiencies and better metal prices.
Aluminium prices are going to remain between the $2100 and $2300 range largely because of uncertainty of the Chinese economy, said Satish Pai, MD of Hindalco Industries
Investors need to focus on Novelis business, given that it remains the largest contributor to profitability
The earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) for the quarter at Rs 6,109 crore declined 29.2 percent on-year from Rs 8,640 crore.