The strategist correctly predicted the US stock slump last year, and has remained bearish in 2023 even as the S&P 500 rallied.
"We feel the bull market is unlikely to end until bullish macros make central banks tighten liquidity and we are not yet there," Hartnett says.
Global investors may have reduced their exposure to emerging market equities but India still continues to be the most favoured country, says a report.
"We like China, India at current levels,†says Michael Hartnett, Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Long US dollar is among the most crowded trades while oil is the most undervalued since July 2012, says Michael Hartnett, Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Michael Kurtz, Nomura said US recovery stands on solid enough foundations to emerge healthy from its winter retreat. “But that assumption is substantially 'in the price' now, suggesting the possibility of a sideways equity consolidation for a few weeks,†he added.
The BofA Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey for June showed that about 9 percent of asset allocators were underweight emerging market equities - the first underweight reading since 2009 and down from a 3 percent overweight position in May.
Michael Kurtz of Nomura says he is replacing HCL Tech with Zee Entertainment as the media industry is at an inflection point as digitisation becomes a reality and Zee is well placed to benefit.
While historical performance is not a guide to future performance, the achievers of the past decade could continue to deliver results in coming days, says Ridham Desai, Morgan Stanley.
Ridham Desai of Morgan Stanley expects fiscal policy action to continue because that is the best chance for the UPA to win the next elections.
Michael Hartnett of Bank of America Merrill Lynch feels investor sentiment remains sternly optimistic in February.
Suresh Mahadevan of UBS expects the Nifty to trade within 5,500-6,350 in H1. "The consumer sector is our biggest underweight, while banks our biggest overweight," he adds.
JPMorgan's base case expectations are for Indian equities to deliver returns of 12-15 percent over the next year, driven primarily by earnings growth, says Bharat Iyer of JP Morgan.
Given the high valuations of the Indian market, Nandan Chakraborty of Enam said they have turned even more defensive and also raised export sector allocations in their model portfolio.
Pablo Goldberg of HSBC believes the Fed decision on Wednesday will be more important in terms of base rate levels and the short-term outlook for the dollar
The Asia-Pacific equity risk premium offers substantial upside, says Michael Kurtz of Nomura.
Aditya Narain, Citigroup says that with no meaningful longer-term structural reform in the Budget and only modest attempts at fiscal reform and few handouts to businesses, it's unlikely to change the underlying economic momentum.
Jonathan Garner of Morgan Stanley expects further upside given the degree of under-valuation versus base case economic and earnings outlook.
In the short-term, Michael Hartnett of BofA ML expects the new year rally in risk assets to continue.
A myriad of macro risks like the European debt, global growth and political changes, to name a few, have tempered the outlook for earnings growth and margin expansion, says Michael Hartnett of BofA ML.
Sluggish global policy and the absence of a clear resolution to the European crisis have kept investors risk-averse in December, says Michael Hartnett of BofA ML.
The EM Overweight allocation could lead to further selling pressure if macro and growth risks increase, says Michael Hartnett of BofA ML.
If the EM effect is peaking as it appears right now, this augurs well for India's relative returns, says Ridham Desai of Morgan Stanley.
Michael Hartnett of BofA ML remains cautious on global equities as the risk-reward still appears unfavourable.
The market looks fairly priced at the moment, but the uncertain macro environment indicates that risks are to the downside.