Major research and brokerage houses expect the rupee to exit its current depreciating phase in 2026, but much will depend on the progress of the trade deal between India and its largest trading partner, the US.
The rupee has depreciated by roughly 5.22 percent against the US dollar this year, making it Asia’s worst-performing currency in 2025
Forex traders said rupee is trading with a negative bias as investors are in wait and watch mode and awaiting cues from the India-US trade deal front
Ratings agency says currency remains undervalued; stronger growth and low inflation to support medium-term recovery
Investors have also been weighing the prospect of White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett taking over as Fed Chair after Jerome Powell’s term ends in May
PwC’s Ranen Banerjee says India’s evolving import mix limits pass-through even as the currency briefly breaches 90 per dollar
A moderate level of rupee depreciation is typically factored into PE return models, but this year’s nearly 5% slide is much steeper and faster than expected.
This year, steep US tariffs are offsetting the benefit of an undervalued rupee
Exporters and importers are responding differently but both sides are accelerating hedge coverage, hedging their exposure using structured products and preferring shorter tenor hedges until policy and geopolitical backdrop stabilises
The overuse of secondary sanctions may end up weakening America’s own financial primacy. The message sent out is overdependence on the dollar represents a strategic vulnerability
The increase has been helped by this year’s decline in the dollar and rally in gold prices.
The moves helped steady the currency as it neared its September record low of 88.8050 per dollar
The dollar climbed to a fresh four-month high against the euro on Tuesday as divisions in the Federal Reserve raised doubt about the prospect of another rate cut this year.
The dollar index was at 99.76, hovering near its highest level in three months, while Asian currencies were flat to modestly weaker on the day
The presence of a dollar stablecoin will bring with it its own challenges for monetary policy, monetary transmission and for seigniorage benefits of any country, CEA said
The rupee closed at 88.2650 against the US dollar, nearly flat compared to its close at 88.2450 in the previous session
The central bank is unwilling to let the currency breach its record low of 88.8050 per dollar level anytime soon, the person said.
The yen sank 1.5% to 149.73 yen on the dollar, its biggest one-day slide since May 12
The currency remained under pressure even as the dollar was on course to notch its worst week since August against major peers
The US dollar index has slumped nearly 10 percent in 2025, its steepest fall since 2017, as weak data, record fiscal deficits, Fed rate cut bets, and political turmoil erode confidence.
The rupee closed at 88.7175 against the U.S. dollar on Friday, little changed on the day but down 0.7% on the week, its steepest weekly fall since late August.
Currency moves in the early Asia session were more subdued after a volatile ride last week following a raft of rate decisions including that of the Fed, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan
Trading in Asia was thinned with markets in Japan closed for a holiday, leaving currencies mostly rangebound in the early session
As global reliance on the US dollar declines, India cautiously adapts—balancing local currency trade, reserve diversification, and strategic autonomy to strengthen its financial resilience in an emerging multipolar global economy
The rupee plummeted to a record low and closed at 88.27 against dollar after touching an intra-day low of 88.38 on Friday.