There is a 50 percent possibility of a tactical rally if the levies on Indian exports come off, Chris Wood added, calling them 'anomalous' and triggered by President Trump's 'personal pique' over the recent India-Pakistan dispute.
Greed and Fear said its base case is that a 'major decline' in the US dollar has begun, over and above the recent pullback, which the note said has been a 'correction of an overvaluation'.
The Global Head of Strategy at Jefferies cited the India head of research's report that detailed the reasons, which included RBI's new 'accommodative' stance
In his latest GREED & fear note, Wood also announced a shift in his global long-only portfolio, increasing investment in Alibaba by one percentage point
'If you have no Indian equities at all, I would start buying now. If you already own a lot of Indian equities, I would wait,' says global head of equity strategy at Jefferies
Chris Wood said he sees leading players like Meta Platforms to reverse course and slash capex spending, going forward. Investments in Nvidia and TSMC will be reduced by two percentage points and one percentage point, respectively.
In the India long-only portfolio, Siemens will be introduced with a 4% weight by removing AU SFB, and investment in HDFC Bank will be raised by one percentage point by trimming Axis Bank, said the Jefferies note.
India's ongoing market correction is 'healthy', said Chris Wood, and the foreign outflow also implies that the FIIs have the ability to buy into India after a sharp fall.
Despite short-term hurdles, Wood maintains his long-term optimism on Indian equities, though with a degree of caution. He sees the recent market correction as healthy, particularly as it has targeted the most expensive segments of the market.
Chris Wood is also bullish on India's residential property theme, where he sees an upcycle underway that could continue for another four years, he said.
Chris Wood said that fossil fuels will be around for a long time and believes in the resilience of traditional energy stocks
Jefferies' Chris Wood says India is the best long-term equity market in the world, and that the bull market is nowhere near ending due to a combination growing retail participation, relentless fund flow and robust domestic demand.
A repeat of the shock BJP defeat in 2004 remains unlikely in the extreme, said Chris Wood. At that time, the Sensex corrected by 17 percent in the two days after the election results. In GREED & fear’s view there would be an even worse outcome in the event of a repeat of such a shock result.
Wood highlighted that “more expensive mid-caps have continued to outperform blue chips” leading to many FPI portfolios underperforming.
The two market veterans, whose commentary is eagerly awaited by shareholders, hold differing views on how the US should respond to the current international conflicts.
The Indian government has signaled value creation in PSUs with regard to disinvestment, and thus, investors must pay attention to the cheaper part of the market, said Chris Wood of Jefferies.
The brokerage's Indian strategy team likes domestic cyclicals such as banks, power, telecom, industrials and property; while being cautious on IT, consumer and RIL. Jefferies believes is that overall central banks will be growth supportive in 2024
Chinese and Indian markets have performed in a drastically different way. While Indian stocks have seen a massive rally with broader market indices rising as much as 55 percent so far this year, CSI 300 – a representative of Chinese stocks – has fallen 14 percent year-to-date
The intervention by the Tokyo Stock Exchange to improve capital efficiency among listed companies has proved “decisive”, according to the global head of equity strategy at the brokerage
Wood initiated a 3 percent investment in the US-quoted Grayscale Bitcoin Trust in the global long-only equity portfolio.
The flip flops on Zomato by Jefferies' fund managers may not inspire a full-fledged TV series, but it can definitely be made into a three-episode mini-series, possibly titled The House of Contradictions.
The latest revision has raised the weight of banking in the portfolio to 35%. Just last week, Wood added food delivery platform Zomato and SBI Life to long-only India portfolio.
Wood said in his weekly newsletter, Greed & Fear, that if SEBI's proposals are implemented, it will increasingly damage the profits of what is a clear success story, referring to the outlook of the asset management companies.
Chris Wood, in his GREED & fear newsletter, praises Prime Minister Modi's emphasis on physical infrastructure development.
In Chris Wood’s weekly newsletter, he detailed how some of the Asia (ex-Japan) portfolios have been changed