Prabhudas Lilladher's research report on HDFC Bank
HDFC Bank (HDFCB) saw a mixed quarter. While core PAT at Rs120.8bn was in-line, core PPoP missed PLe by 4.4% due to weak NII which was offset by lower opex and provisions. Asset yields were below est. likely due to loans being booked towards the quarter end. Bank wants to maintain its current NIM, as funding cost rise would be offset by fixed rate loans (45% of book). Retail wholesale mix improved QoQ from 44:56 to 47:53. Retail deposit accretion was healthy (+7.5% QoQ) and its share is now 83% (80% in Mar’22). Bank added 1,479 branches in FY23 and this run-rate would continue in FY24E. However, key highlight is bank’s balance sheet which is merger ready as suggested by high cash and other assets which in the short term could drag NIM, in our view.
Outlook
Maintaining multiple at 3.0x, we roll forward to FY25E core ABV and raise TP from Rs1,850 to Rs1,925. Valuation is at 2.6x FY25 core ABV. Retain ‘BUY’.
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